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TWIF Notes 10/19/26

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Welcome Back! I thought 2 weeks ago was pure chaos, but this past weekend had even more upsets, including 5 of the top 7 teams in the AP Poll losing. That had never happened before this weekend. There is so much to talk about, but I'll just try to hit the high (or low) points. Here are my thoughts from Week 7. 1. Colorado State fired their DC a few weeks ago in the midst of giving up 56 points, but this past Thursday, they lost to Texas State by a score of 66-27. Not sure the DC was the problem... 2. Tulane came off the mat and eliminated Memphis from CFP consideration with a 31-17 win over the Tigers. That leaves UTSA (6-1/3-0) as the American Conference's best hope to snag a CFP bid, but one more loss likely eliminates the Roadrunners. This result likely opens the door a bit wider for JMU, Boise State, and New Mexico. Can they seize the opportunity, or will they stumble and let someone like NDSU or Oregon State sneak in? 3. Ohio State defeated the Indiana Hoosiers 19-15, and ...
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Paul's Picks 2026 Week 7

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Welcome Back! It was bound to happen. I finally had a poor week, my worst week so far (not counting Week Zero). I finished at  37-21 for a winning percentage of 63.8%. Overall, I am 359-89, or 80.1%, a drop of 2.5% from the week before. There is no way I will sustain 80% for the year, but maybe I can stay above 75% this year. There are only 62 games in total this week, 4 more than last week. By and large, conference contests are the majority of the games this week, which makes picking a winner that much more difficult (as I just demonstrated...). And I'm off to a 1-3 start. Sigh... There are a lot of fantastic games this weekend, so... on with the picks! Thursday, October 15 East Carolina @ UAB - The Blazers won 4 of the 1st 6 in this series, from 1998-2006, but the Pirates have won the last 7 to take a 9-4 lead. UAB is 3-3/1-1, and just 1 win shy of matching last season's 4 wins, and they've actually looked decent, with their 2 biggest losses on the road at Illinois and Me...
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Odds and Ends 10/14/26

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Welcome Back! Before I begin, there are 2 Wednesday games this week: Wednesday, October 14 Kennesaw State @ Missouri State - One of these teams will get their 1st FBS win. They've only played each other twice, with the Bears winning in Springfield in 2019 and the Owls winning in Kennesaw last year. KSU has been on the verge of winning their last 2 games, losing by a combined 4 points, while Mo State was losing by 6 and 21 to similar competition. Owls win a close one.  WKU @ Sam Houston - The Bearkats have a win in the 2004 Division I-AA playoffs, but the Hilltoppers have won the 3 meetings since, all in the last 3 seasons. SHS started the season OK, losing close games to Troy and Tulsa, and blowing out an FCS squad, but since then, they've been routed by Texas Tech and Liberty. WKU has taken an opposite approach, they started the season 0-3, getting destroyed by Nevada, UGA, and Indiana, but have now won 2 of their last 3. I think the Bearkats pull the upset and get their 1st F...
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Power Rankings 10/13/26

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Welcome Back! Before we get into our regularly scheduled program, there are 2 games tonight! Here are my picks: Tuesday, October 13 Delaware @ Middle Tennessee - The Fightin' Blue Hens are 3-0 all-time against the Blue Raiders, winning in 1977 and '78, and 31-28 last year. Both teams are 0-1 in CUSA, with MTSU losing to JSU (23-13) and Delaware falling to Liberty (30-14). Both teams also have wins over an FCS team, and a non-conference win, MT over Nevada (27-20) and the Hens over CCU. And both teams were routed by P4 teams (a combined 97-3), but Delaware did play Vandy within 9 points while the Blue Raiders were losing to Marshall by 2. There really isn't much difference between the 2 teams, and when that happens, I usually go with the home team, but I like the Blue Hens here. FIU @ Jacksonville State - The Gamecocks lead this recent series 3-1, but the Panthers won 27-21 last year. Jax State appears to be one of the 2 best teams in CUSA, as even 1 of their 2 OOC losses wa...
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