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Paul's Picks 2026 Week 4

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Welcome Back! Last week, I was better than usual again at 62-13, a winning percentage of 82.7%! Overall, I am 222-38, or 85.4%, a drop of 1.1% from the week before. There is no way I will sustain that for the year, but maybe I can stay above 75% this year. There are 71 games in total this week, 4 less than last week. We still have a few FCS games, but by and large, conference contests are the majority of the games this week. Which makes picking a winner that much more difficult. So... on with the picks! Thursday, September 24 Liberty @ Coastal Carolina - The Flames have a narrow 8-7 edge over the Chanticleers, winning their lst meeting in the 2020 Cure Bowl by a score of 37-34, ruining CCU's perfect season. The Chants are 5-2 in Conway, and all of the matchups have been since 2003. CCU has already lost to one CUSA team, as they fell 22-14 at Delaware last weekend, but LU is 0-1 against the SBC as they lost to JMU 20-13 in the season's opening week. This is a coin flip type game...
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Odds and Ends 9/23/26

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Welcome Back! Today I'll talk mostly about the out of conference results so far. I'll also continue the lists of undefeated and winless teams, as well as those with a win, but no FBS wins. Interconference results This year, I am using a chart, which should more clearly highlight how each conference is doing. It will be organized by their overall OOC record. Unfortunately, you may need to scroll to see the last few columns. Conference Overall Pct Rank vs FBS Pct Rank vs P4 Pct Rank vs G6 Pct Rank SEC 34-2 .944 1 26-2 .929 1 10-2 .833 1 16-0 1.000 1 Independents 5-1 .833 2 4-1 .800 2 2-1 .667 2 2-0 1.000 3 Big Ten 39-8 .829 3 28-10 .734 3 4-9 .308 5 24-1 .960 4 Big 12 34-8 .809 4 18-8 .692 4 5-7 .417 3 13-1 .929 5 ACC 24-9 .727 5 13-9 .591 5 6-9 .400 4 7-0 1.000 2 Sun Belt 22-19 .537 6 10-18 .357 7 0-11 .000 10 10-7 .588 7 American 19-18 .514 7 11-17 .393 6 1-10 .091 6 10-7 .588 7 MWC 12-14 .462 8 6-13 .316 8 0-7 .000 9 6-6 .500 9 CUSA 13-18 .419 9 5-18 .217 10 0-6 .000 8 5-12 .2...
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Power Rankings 9/22/26

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Welcome Back! As you might expect, we had quite a bit of movement after the 3rd full week of games. Texas and Indiana remain numbers 1 and 2, but Notre Dame and Oregon swap spots. Ole Miss moves back into the top 10 at #9 while LSU drops to #12. Once again, the Top 25 has the same teams but with some rearrangement. ULM takes over the last spot due to their loss to an FCS team, supplanting Charlotte. After this weekend, I will drop the preseason points and add in some stats from this season. This means there will probably be some major changes, but perhaps not as much as in the past, since the preseason points have carried less weight than before. This also means that the rankings next week will reflect what has happened this season and will be devoid of preseason expectations. Here are the teams that moved 8 spots or more (biggest movers highlighted): West Virginia +16 to #51 North Texas -11 to #55 Wake Forest -9 to #61 Texas State +12 to #64 Kentucky +20 to #65 Tulane -9 to #71 San Di...
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