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Power Rankings 9/29/26

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Welcome Back! I have to admit it; I wasn't sure how my new formula would work, since I deemphasized the amount of points my preseason bonus was worth. It seemed to work pretty well for these 1st 4 games, as teams moved more, but not too much. In the past, teams didn't move much at all, even if they won or lost a big game, because the preseason points exerted an oversized influence. So this year I reduced that influence, and it seems to have worked well.  I also expected the large movement that has happened previously after removing the preseason points to be less than in the past. Boy, was I wrong! So many teams moved 10 or more places that it would take me an hour to type all the team names in this document. 32 of the top 47 moved up or down at least 10 places, so I just stopped figuring the rest out. I'll leave that to you. But here is what I can say without fear of contradiction: UMass does not belong at #22, and I sure don't expect them to stay there. However, up to...
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TWIF Notes 9/28/26

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Welcome Back! What another fantastic weekend of games! With intra-conference play beginning in earnest, there are a few more surprises, and games tend to be more competitive. That also makes predicting the winners more difficult (check back on how I did on Thursday. In the news that I know all of you are waiting for breathlessly, I have now seen 97 of the 138 FBS teams (or 70%) either live or on TV. When I say"seen" that means I have watched that team for at least one offensive and one defensive possession. I have seen all of the SEC teams, 15 of 18 in the Big Ten, 15 of 17 in the ACC, 11 of 16 in the Big 12, 1 of 2 Independents, 11 of 14 in the American Conference, all of the Pac 12, 5 of 10 in the Mountain West, only 6 of 14 in the Sun Belt, 8 of 13 in the MAC, and only 3 of 10 in CUSA. My goal is to wath every teams at least once, but that's difficult because: 1) I don't have ESPN+ or Unlimited, or whatever they call it, which means I can't watch games on CW an...
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Paul's Picks 2026 Week 4

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Welcome Back! Last week, I was better than usual again at 62-13, a winning percentage of 82.7%! Overall, I am 222-38, or 85.4%, a drop of 1.1% from the week before. There is no way I will sustain that for the year, but maybe I can stay above 75% this year. There are 71 games in total this week, 4 less than last week. We still have a few FCS games, but by and large, conference contests are the majority of the games this week. Which makes picking a winner that much more difficult. So... on with the picks! Thursday, September 24 Liberty @ Coastal Carolina - The Flames have a narrow 8-7 edge over the Chanticleers, winning their lst meeting in the 2020 Cure Bowl by a score of 37-34, ruining CCU's perfect season. The Chants are 5-2 in Conway, and all of the matchups have been since 2003. CCU has already lost to one CUSA team, as they fell 22-14 at Delaware last weekend, but LU is 0-1 against the SBC as they lost to JMU 20-13 in the season's opening week. This is a coin flip type game...
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