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Showing posts from August, 2023

Paul's Picks 2023 Week 1

Welcome Back! Last week did not go as well as I had hoped, as I was only 4-3, a winning percentage of only 57.1%. But with a limited number of games, I would have had to go 6-1 to be above my normal 73%. Oh well, there are still many, many games to go. And this week, I'm bound to get better, as there are a LOT of FBS vs FCS games, which history shows us is won by FBS teams greater than 90% of the time. So I just have to do well on the other games. There are 87 games in total this week, which I hope is the most for any week this year, because it took me a long time to prepare for this. So... on with the picks! Thursday, August 31 Elon @ Wake Forest - The Demon Deacons are 11-0-1 all-time against the Phoenix, and should have no problems this year, though Elon was 8-4 last year. WF wins easily. Kent State @ UCF - The series is tied at 2 wins apiece, with each team 1-1 at home and away. The Golden Flashes won the 2 most recent matchups, in 2003 and 2004, while the Knights won the 1st 2

Odds and Ends 8-30-23

Welcome Back! Today there isn't much to talk about, as there have only been 7 games so far. Next week, there will be more info, but this particular blog will get a lot more interesting in the next few weeks. Inter-conference results  Not much to go on, but here are the results so far For these purposes, all Independents (even Notre Dame) are considered G5.  Here are the results of all out-of-conference games. Overall 1) Independents 2-0 1.000 T2) SEC 1-0 1.000 T2) Pac 12 1-0 1.000 4) MWC 1-2 .333 T5) Big Ten 0-0 .000 T5) Big 12 0-0 .000 T5) SBC 0-0 .000 T5) ACC 0-0 .000 T5) FCS 0-0 .000 T10) AAC 0-1 .000 T10) MAC 0-1 .000 T10) CUSA 0-1 .000 The Independents started out great, while the MWC and CUSA not so much. vs FBS 1) Independents 2-0 1.000 T2) SEC 1-0 1.000 T2) Pac 12 1-0 1.000 4) MWC 1-2 .333 T5) Big Ten 0-0 .000 T5) Big 12 0-0 .000 T5) SBC 0-0 .000 T5) ACC 0-0 .000 T5) FCS 0-0 .000 T10) AAC 0-1 .000 T10) MAC 0-1 .000 T10) CUSA 0-1 .000 All games were against FBS teams. vs P5

Power Rankings 8-29-23

Welcome Back! There were only 7 games, so there wasn't much movement. This year, I will show you the rankings on the left, the team in the middle, and the team's previous ranking on the right, so you can see which team(s) moved and by how much. I use a point system to rank each team in the preseason, and some times the teams are many points away from the team just above or below them, and sometimes they may be less than a point away. I tell you this to sort of explain how a team can win, and win big (like UMass), and still not move up in the rankings. It was because the points they gained by winning moved them closer to the team above them, but wasn't enough to surpass that team. Now had they beaten a team like Georgia (#1), it would have moved them more than just beating NMSU (ranked #107 at the time). And sometimes a close win over a team ranked near the bottom will cause you to lose points, just as a close loss to a team ranked near the top could cause you to gain points