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Paul's Pick- CFP National Championship Game

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Welcome Back! I was the very definition of mediocre on bowl predictions this year, though it was rough there for a bit. At 50%, I slid back by about 7.8% from last year. My record is 23-23, with one game still to go. Bowl Games are notoriously difficult to predict, and always have been, but it's been made so much more difficult with all the opt-outs, transfers, and coaching changes occurring much earlier than they used to. All of which is to say that if I can finish at or around 50% for the bowls, I will consider that a success. Above 60%? That's a rousing success. 75% or better? That's a minor miracle! For the year, I finished 667-240, or 74.2%, with the bowls knocking 1.3% off my winning percentage. This is how each conference did in the bowls/postseason: Pac 12 1-0/1.000 ACC 9-4/.692 Big Ten 10-5/.667 CUSA 4-3/.571 American 5-4/.556 SBC 5-5/.500 Big 12 4-4/.500 MAC 2-3/.400 SEC 4-10/.286 MWC 2-5/.286 Ind 0-1/.000 As you can see, the ACC and Big Ten did the best among all...
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Paul's Picks- CFP Semifinals

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Welcome Back So far in the bowls and CFP games, I am 22-22 (50%) including the Army-Navy game, making me 692-237 overall with a winning percentage of 74.5% (down another 0.3% from last week), as I will stay below 75% for the year. You should know that I often root against my picks, as I rarely go with my heart- I almost always pick the team I think will win, not the one I hope wins. So now we are down to 4 teams, and none of them have won a national championship since 2001 (Miami). In fact, Oregon, Ole Miss and Indiana have never won an AP National Championship. In addition, only Indiana won their conference this year, and they were also the only one to even play in their CCG! However, Ole Miss claims 3 National Championships, in 1959 (10-1), 1960 (10-0-1), and 1962 (10-0), but only the 1960 season is recognized by the NCAA as a co-national championship with Minnesota. Oregon and Indiana have never been recognized as national champions, and neither school claims a title. Miami, on the...
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Paul's Picks 2025 Bowls Part 3

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Welcome Back So far in the bowls and CFP games, I am 14-14 (50%) including the Army-Navy game, making me 684-231 overall with a winning percentage of 74.8% (down 0.3% from last week), my first time dropping below 75% for the year. You should know that I often root against my picks, as I rarely go with my heart- I almost always pick the team I think will win, not the one I hope wins. So now we have more bowl games, and the CFP Quarterfinals to go, as well as the semifinals and the final. Full disclaimer- I'm usually around 50% for bowls, as they are notoriously difficult to predict, due to coaching changes, opt-outs, etc. In other words, don't bet the house based on my picks; it's all a crapshoot anyway, but I'm going to give it the ol' College Try! So...on with the picks! Monday, December 29 Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State (JLab Birmingham Bowl- Birmingham, AL)  - The Birmingham Bowl began as the PapaJohns.com Bowl in 2006, and then became the BBVA Compass Bow...
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