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Paul's Picks 2025 Week 3

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Welcome Back! Last week, I was I was a decent 70-13 (84.3%), making me 151-28 overall, a winning percentage of 84.4%.  This week there are "only" 70 games, the fewest so far. Let's see if I can have another week above 80%. So... on with the picks! Thursday, September 11 NC State @ Wake Forest - The Wolfpack lead this series 69-43-6, winning 2 of the last 3, but the Demon Deacons won 34-30 last year in Raleigh, and they've won 3 of the last 4 played in Winston-Salem. The teams first played in 1895, then twice in 1908, but they've played every year since 1910, even during WWI and WWII. Both teams are 2-0 this year, but the level of competition each has faced is vastly different. NC State wins, though it may be close for a while. Friday, September 12 Indiana State @ Indiana - The Hoosiers lead the series 7-1, winning the last 6 (since 2003), with their lone loss to the Sycamores coming in 1963 in their 2nd meeting (the 1st was in 1925). ISU played close in 2012, losi...
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Odds and Ends 9/10/25

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Welcome Back! After 2 weeks, there is finally quite a bit to look at.  Interconference results Here is where we stand so far: Overall: 1) SEC-            27-3/.900 2) Big Ten-       31-5/.861 3) Big 12-       23-8/.742 4) ACC-            23-11/.676 5) American     17-9/.654 6) MWC-           16-10/.615 7) Pac 12-           2-2/.500 8) SBC-                13-15/.464 9) CUSA-           9-13/.409 10) Ind             1-2/.333 11) MAC          7-19/.269 12) FCS          4-4677.049 The SEC takes over the overall lead, but it's not a huge lead. The American Conference continues to  lead the G5. The SBC, CUSA, and MAC all have a losing record. vs...
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Power Rankings 9/9/25

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Welcome Back! We finally had quite a bit of movement, but not as much as you might expect, given the upsets. But this is a feature (not a bug) of my formula. For the 1st month (approximately 4 games) my formula is heavily weighted toward my preseason rankings. This keeps the rankings from being volatile early in this season. When I drop all preseason factors, then teams will move up and down more freely.  15 of my top 26 either moved up or down, but most moved only 1 spot. And we have a new team at the bottom. As a reminder, I use a points based system. Teams start out with a certain number of points based on 12 different factors, and those points range from a low of 51.184 (#136 Kent State) to a high of 1,348.285 points (#1 Ohio State), so as you can see, there are almost 1300 points separating 1st and last place- plenty of room to fit in 134 additional teams. In other words, teams are an average of 9.7 points apart, but of course they aren't spaced evenly; some are 20-30 points a...
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