College Football Preview Part XXV- SEC

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Welcome Back!

Today I continue my conference previews. These previews will attempt to predict how each conference finishes, but realize that doing so is extremely difficult, especially since no conference has a balanced schedule. Also, whatever the conferences come up with in the form of tiebreakers will make a huge difference, as all but the Sun Belt have done away with divisions. In addition, these predictions aren't my personal opinion; they are the result of the formula/model/statistical analysis/whatever. I will sometimes mention my thoughts in the narratives below the predictions.

The list of records for 3-years, 6-years, and 10 years are conference records only, and do not include any results for the conference championship games. You will notice that the teams haven't all played the same number of games, especially when considering they should have. This is because that teams played a varied number of games in 2020, and that sometimes games get cancelled (see Virginia in 2022, for example). In the case of teams switching conferences, I counted the record from their previous conference. Independent teams joining a conference were counted with their full record (UMass), but FCS teams moving up enter with 0-0 records.

In case you are interested, I get all of my information from various sources. I use the 3 main preview magazines (Phil Steele, Lindy's, and Athlon), but I also use many different websites, including (but not limited to): Google, Winsipedia, sports-reference.com, ESPN.com, TeamRankings.com, NCAA.com, and, of course, individual school websites.

I don't have a staff- it's just me- so all of the research is my own from these various sources (it doesn't help when they contradict each other...), so any mistakes are mine. I also don't have an editor/proofreader, so you are likely to find several (many? I hope not) typos, such as commas where periods should be (or vice versa), a misspelled or missing word, doubled words ("the the" in the middle of a sentence, for example), etc. 

Finally, feel free to leave a comment. Interacting is much of the fun! Of course, if you know me personally, feel free to just text. I'll get that a lot quicker.

So, on with the previews!


SEC


3-Year History


Georgia 22-2/.917/1st

Texas 21-5/.808/2nd

Alabama 19-5/.792/3rd

LSU 17-7/.708/4th

Tenn 16-8/.667/5th

Ole Miss 15-9/.625/6th

Missouri 14-10/.583/7th

SC 12-12/.500/8th

Oklahoma 12-14/.462/9th

TAMU 11-13/.458/10th

Florida 10-14/.417/11th

Kentucky 7-17/.292/12th

Auburn 7-17/.292/12th

Ark 7-17/.292/12th

Miss St 5-19/.208/15th

Vandy 5-19/.208/15th


6-Year History


Georgia 44-5/.898/1st

Alabama 42-8/.840/2nd

LSU 33-17/.660/3rd

Texas 34-18/.654/4th

Okla 33-19/.635/5th

Tenn 28-22/.560/6th

TAMU 27-22/.551/7th

Ole Miss 27-22/.551/7th

Florida 26-24/.520/9th

Missouri 25-25/.500/10th

Auburn 21-29/.420/11th

SC 20-30/.400/12th

Kentucky 19-31/.380/13th

Miss St 15-35/.300/14th

Ark 14-36/.280/15th

Vandy 6-43/.122/16th


10-Year History


Alabama 72-10/.878/1st

Georgia 67-14/.827/2nd

Okla 66-22/.750/3rd

LSU 54-28/.659/4th

Texas 53-35/.602/5th

Florida 47-35/.573/6th

TAMU 44-37/.543/7th

Ole Miss 39-42/.481/8th

Tenn 39-43/.476/9th

Auburn 38-44/.463/10th

Missouri 36-46/.439/11th

Kentucky 34-48/.415/12th

SC 33-49/.402/13th

Miss St 30-52/.366/14th

Ark 23-59/.280/15th

Vandy 15-66/.185/16th


Predicted Finish:


  1. Georgia

  2. Texas

  3. Alabama

  4. LSU

  5. Ole Miss

  6. Tennessee

  7. Texas A&M

  8. Florida 

  9. Oklahoma

  10. South Carolina

  11. Missouri

  12. Auburn 

  13. Arkansas

  14. Kentucky

  15. Vanderbilt

  16. Mississippi State


Conference Champion: Georgia


Chances to make the playoff: Guaranteed. The SEC has had a participant in each CFP, and sometimes have had 2. And with the new expanded 12-team CFP, I expect anywhere from 3-5 teams to make it in. Expect there to be a fierce battle to get into the SEC CG, possibly decided by tiebreakers.

Don’t be surprised if… LSU makes it into the SEC CG. They have a schedule made for success, but they do have Ole Miss and Alabama on the road. Win one of those, and win all the rest in the SEC and a 7-1 record could be enough to get them in.

I’m not convinced… South Carolina or Missouri will finish outside the top half. In fact, one or the other could be in the top 4 or 5.


This concludes all the previews. Make sure you come back Monday as I begin my weekly schedule for the season!


Until next time, may you and your loved ones be blessed!   

Comments

  1. AnonymousAugust 16, 2025 at 9:33 AM

    Thanks for your predictions! Review of the prior years was helpful. LL

    ReplyDelete

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