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Showing posts from January, 2025

Paul's Picks Bowls Part V- National Championship Game

Welcome Back! I actually did OK on bowl predictions this year, though it was rough there for a bit. At 57.8%, I improved by about 7.5% from last year. My record is 26-19, thanks to getting the last 6 correct (so I was barely above .500 before that run).  Bowl Games are notoriously difficult to predict, and always have been, but it's been made so much more difficult with all the opt-outs, transfers, and coaching changes occurring much earlier than they used to. All of which is to say that if I can finish at or around 50% for the bowls, I will consider that a success. Above 60%? That's a rousing success. 75% or better? That's a minor miracle! For the year, I finished 659-259, or 71.7%, with the bowls knocking 1.8% off my winning percentage. This is how each conference did in the bowls/postseason: Independents 4-0  1.000 (3-0 by ND) AAC 6-2 .750 MAC 5-2 .714 Big Ten 10-6 .625 (3-0 by OSU) SBC 4-3 .571 SEC 8-7 .533 Big 12 4-5 .444 MWC 1-4 .200 CUSA 1-4 .200 ACC 2-11 .154 Pac 12...

Paul's Picks Bowls Part IV

Welcome Back! For the bowls (and early round CFP games), I have been a very mediocre 24-19, or 55.8%. This makes me 657-259 for the year, a winning percentage of .717, way below my usual percentage. That means I'll need to get all of the last 3 games correct to bring that up ever so slightly.  All the bowls are completed, and all that's left are this week's semifinals, and then the CFP Championship Game on Monday, December 20.  Now... on with the picks! Thursday, January 9 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl 7 Notre Dame vs 6 Penn State  (Miami Gardens, FL) - This series is tied at 9-9-1, with the Fighting Irish winning the only prior bowl clash 20-9 in the 1976 Gator Bowl. ND's wins are in 1913, 1926, 1928, the '76 Gator Bowl, 1984, 1988, 1989, 1992, and 2006. PSU's wins are in 1981, 1982, 1983, 1985, 1986, 1987, 1990, 1991, and in their most recent contest in 2007. The tie was in 1925, and like so many from the 20s and before, was...