Odds and Ends 10/30/19

Welcome Back!

Here at Odds and Ends, I plan to look at some stats, trends, storylines, etc. as they play out.  I will also give my opinion on some issues, but you can take that for what it's worth.

Anyway, let's get into this week's statistics!


LIR

Ah... it's all over.  Every QB who qualifies has thrown an INT.  Until next season...

Conference Standings

Here is how each conference is doing in overall win percentage:

1) Big 12 47-29 .618
2) Big Ten 68-43 .613
3) AAC 57-37 .606
4) SEC 65-45 .591
5) ACC 63-44 .589
6) Pac 12 54-41 .568
7) MWC 52-41 .559
8) SBC 38-35 .521
9) CUSA 51-58 .468
10) MAC 43-55 .439
11) Independents 17-29 .370

Independents went a combined 0-5 last week.

I have abandoned my non-conference records (see last week's Odds and Ends) since most non-conference games are completed.  I will revisit this at the end of the season.

Another way of comparing conferences is by average rank.  Using my Power Rankings (see yesterday's blog), here is how the conferences compare:

Conference     Average rank
1. Big 12         44
2.Pac 12          44.5
3. SEC            53.6
4. Big Ten       54.5
5. ACC            55.3
6. AAC            57.9
7. MWC          77.8
8. CUSA          81.2
9. Ind               86.2
10. SBC           88.6
11. MAC          90.4

Which Division is Best?

Here is how each division is doing in overall records:

1) Big Ten East 37-19 .661
2) AAC West 31-16 .660
3) ACC Atlantic 34-19 .642
4) Sun Belt East 23-13 .639
5) SEC West 35-21 .625
6) Big 12 47-29 .618
7) MWC Mountain 27-19 .587
8) Pac 12 North 27-20 .574
9) Big Ten West 31-24 .564
10) Pac 12 South 27-21 .563
11) SEC East 30-24 .556
12) AAC East 26-21 .553
13) ACC Coastal 29-25 .537
14) MWC West 25-22 .532
15) MAC West 26-24 .520
16) CUSA West 25-28 .472
17) CUSA East 26-30 .464
18) Sun Belt West 15-22 .405
19) Independents 17-229 .370
20) MAC East 17-31 .354

The Big Ten East has moved to the top! The worst P5 division, at least in terms of overall win percentage, is still the ACC Coastal.  No team in the MAC East has a winning record!

As far as intra-conference play, here is how each division is doing against the other:

SEC West leads the SEC East 6-4
Big 10 East leads the Big Ten West 9-6
ACC Atlantic leads the Coastal 5-2
Pac 12 South leads the North 8-6
AAC West leads the East 5-3
MWC Mountain leads the West 10-4
CUSA West leads the East 4-3
MAC West leads the East 6-4
SBC East leads the West 6-3

Undefeated Vs. Winless

After 9 weeks, there are now only 9 (out of 130) teams that are still undefeated, which means that 1 undefeated team (Oklahoma) lost last weekend. Three of the undefeated reside in the Big Ten!  Here are the remaining 10:

Alabama
Appalachian State
Baylor
Clemson
LSU
Minnesota
Ohio State
Penn State
SMU

There are still only 3 winless teams, proving that it's much harder to go winless than it is to go undefeated:

Akron
New Mexico State
Rice

Let's examine these by conference.  This is another way to compare conferences.

The SEC has 2 of 14 undefeated, and 0 winless.
The Big Ten has 3 of 14 undefeated, and no winless teams.
The ACC has only 1 of 14 undefeated teams, and no winless teams.
The Big 12 has 1 of 10 teams undefeated, and no winless teams.
The Pac 12 has 0 of 12 teams undefeated, and no winless teams.
Independents have 0 of 6 undefeated, but still 1 winless.
The AAC has 1 of 12 undefeated, and 0 winless.
The MWC has 0 of 12 undefeated, and 0 winless.
CUSA has 0 undefeated team, and 1 winless.
The MAC has 0 undefeated teams, and 1 winless.
The SBC has 1 undefeated team and 0 winless.

There are 3 teams that have a win, but none against FBS competition:

ODU
South Alabama
UTEP

Bowl Eligibility

The following teams are already bowl eligible, with at least 6 wins.  We added 8 more teams to the list, making the total 31.  This year, there are 39 bowl games, which means there are slots for 78 teams.

Air Force
Alabama
Appalachian State
Auburn
Baylor
Boise State
Cincinnati
Clemson
Florida
Georgia
Georgia State
Indiana
Iowa
La Tech
LSU
Memphis
Michigan
Minnesota
Navy
Ohio State
Oklahoma
Oregon
Penn State
San Diego State
SMU
UAB
UCF
Utah
Wake Forest
Wisconsin
Wyoming

Here is every team's chances at bowl eligibility:

Team: Texas A&M
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: UTSA, SC, @UGA, @LSU
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Missouri
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @UGA, Fla, Tenn, @Ark
Bowl Chance: The Tigers are currently ineligible for a bowl due to NCAA sanctions.
Projected Record: 7-5

Team: Louisville
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @Mia, @NC St, Syra, @UK
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Virginia Tech
Record: 5-2
Remaining Schedule: @ND, WF, @GT, Pitt, @UVA
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Virginia
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @UNC, GT, Liberty, Va Tech
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 8-4/9-3

Team: Pittsburgh
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @GT, UNC, @VT, BC
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 8-4

Team: Texas
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: Kan St, @ISU, @Bay, TT
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 7-5/8-4

Team: Iowa State
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @Okla, Tex, Kan, @Kan St
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 7-5/8-4

Team: Oklahoma State
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: TCU, Kan, @WV, Okla
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Kansas State 
Record: 5-2
Remaining Schedule: @Kan, @Tex, WV, @TT, ISU
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 7-5/8-4

Team: USC
Record: 5-3

Remaining Schedule: Ore, @ASU, @Cal, UCLA

Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 7-5


Team: Arizona State
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: USC, @Ore St, Ore, Ariz
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 7-5

Team: Washington
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: Utah, @Ore St, @Colo, Wash St
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 7-5/8-4

Team: Notre Dame
Record: 5-2
Remaining Schedule: VT, @Duke, Navy, BC, @Stan
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 9-3

Team: Liberty
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @UMass, @BYU, @UVA, NMSU
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 7-5

Team: Temple
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @USF, Tulane, @Cincy, UConn
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 8-4

Team: Tulane
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: Tulsa, @Temple, UCF, @SMU
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5


Team: Hawai'i
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: Fresno St, SJSU, @UNLV, SDSU, Army
Bowl Chance: Excellent

Projected Record: 8-5 (yes, they play 13 games)



Team: FAU

Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @WKU, FIU, @UTSA, USM
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 7-5

Team: Marshall 
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: @Rice, LT, @Char, FIU
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 7-5/8-4

Team: WKU
Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: FAU, @Ark, @USM, MT
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5


Team: Southern Miss

Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: UAB, @UTSA, WKU, @FAU
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 7-5/8-4



Team: Toledo

Record: 5-3
Remaining Schedule: Kent St, NIU, @Buff, @CMU
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 8-4/9-3

Team: Western Michigan
Record: 5-4
Remaining Schedule: Ball St, @Ohio, @NIU
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Central Michigan
Record: 5-4
Remaining Schedule: NIU, @Ball St, Toledo
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Louisiana
Record: 5-2
Remaining Schedule: Tex St, @CCU, @S Ala, Troy, ULM
Bowl Chance: Excellent
Projected Record: 8-4/9-3


Team: Kentucky

Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Tenn, @Vandy, UT Martin, Louisville
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Michigan State
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Ill, @Mich, @Rut, Maryland
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Nebraska
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @Pur, Wisc, @Maryland, Iowa
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6


Team: Illinois

Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Rut, @Mich St, @Iowa, NW
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6



Team: FSU

Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Mia, @BC, Ala St, @Fla
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: NC State
Record: 4-3
Remaining Schedule: @WF, Clem, Lou, @GT, UNC
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Boston College
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @Syra, FSU, @ND, @Pitt
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6


Team: Miami, Fl

Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @FSU, Lou, FIU, @Duke
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: North Carolina
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: UVA, @Pitt, Mercer, @NC St
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: Duke
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: ND, Syra, @WF, Mia
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6


Team: TCU
Record: 4-3
Remaining Schedule: @Okla St, Bay, @TT, @Okla, WV
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6



Team: Arizona
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Ore St, @Ore, Utah, @Wash
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6


Team: Stanford
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @Colo, @Wash St, Cal, ND
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Washington State
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @Cal, Stan, Ore St, @Wash
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: California
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Wash St, USC, @Stan, @UCLA
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 6-6


Team: USF
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Temple, Cincy, Mem, @UCF
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 4-8/5-7

Team: Utah State
Record: 4-3
Remaining Schedule: BYU, @Fresno St, Wyo, Boise St, @NM
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 7-5/8-4

Team: Nevada
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: NM, @SDSU, @Fresno St, UNLV
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6



Team: San Jose State
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Boise St, @Hawai'i, @UNLV, Fresno St
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: FIU
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: ODU, @FAU, Mia-Fl, @Marsh
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6





Team: Ohio
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Mia, WMU, @BG, @Akron
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Miami, Oh
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @Ohio, BG, Akron, @Ball St
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Buffalo
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @EMU, @Kent St, Tol, BG
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Eastern Michigan
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: Buff, @Akron, @NIU, Kent St
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 7-5

Team: Ball State
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @WMU, CMU, @Kent St, Mia
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6


Team: Georgia Southern
Record: 4-3
Remaining Schedule: @App St, @Troy, ULM, @Ark St, Ga St
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: Arkansas State
Record: 4-4
Remaining Schedule: @ULM, CCU, Ga Sou, @S Ala
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6/7-5

Team: Mississippi State
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @Ark, Ala, Abilene Christian, Ole Miss
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Ole Miss
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @Aub, NMSU, LSU, @Miss St
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: South Carolina
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: Vandy, App St, @TAMU, Clem
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7


Team: Tennessee
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: UAB, @UK, @Mizzou, Vandy
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: Maryland
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: Mich, @OSU, Neb, @Mich St
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: Syracuse
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: BC, @Duke, @Lou, WF
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 4-8/5-7

Team: Texas Tech
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @WV, TCU, Kan St, @Tex
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 5-7

Team: West Virginia
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: @Bay, TT, @Kan St, Okla St, @TCU
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 4-8


Team: Kansas
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: Kan St, @Okla St, @ISU, Bay
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: UCLA
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: Colo, @Utah, @USC, Cal
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 5-7

Team: Colorado
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @UCLA, Stan, Wash, @Utah
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 4-8

Team: Oregon State
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: @Ariz, Wash, ASU, @Wash St, @Ore
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 4-8

Team: Army
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @AF, UMass, VMI, @Hawai'i, Navy
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 5-8/6-7

Team: BYU
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: @Utah St, Liberty, Idaho St, @UMass, @SDSU
Bowl Chance: Very Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: East Carolina
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: Cincy, @SMU, @UConn, Tulsa
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 5-7

Team: Houston
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @UCF, Mem, @Tulsa, Navy
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 4-8


Team: Colorado State
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: UNLV, AF, @Wyo, Boise St
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: Fresno State
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: @Hawai'i, Utah St, @SDSU, Nev, @SJSU
Bowl Chance: Questionable
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6


Team: Middle Tennessee
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @Char, Rice, ODU, @WKU
Bowl Chance: Good
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Charlotte
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: MT, @UTEP, Marsh, @ODU
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: North Texas
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: UTEP, @LT, @Rice, UAB
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: UTSA
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: @TAMU, @ODU, USM, FAU, @LT
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 3-9

Team: Kent State
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: Tol, Buff, Ball St, @EMU
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 6-6


Team: Northern Illinois
Record: 3-5
Remaining Schedule: @CMU, @Tol, EMU, WMU
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: Troy
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: @CCU, Ga Sou, @Tex St, @Lou, App St
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 5-7/6-6

Team: Coastal Carolina
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: Troy, Lou, @Ark St, @ULM, Tex St
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 4-8

Team: ULM
Record: 3-4
Remaining Schedule: Ark St, Ga St, @Ga Sou, CCU, @Lou
Bowl Chance: Fair
Projected Record: 6-6

Team: Arkansas
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: Miss St, WKU, @LSU, Mizzou
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: Vanderbilt
Record: 2-5
Remaining Schedule: @SC, @Fla, UK, E Tenn St, @Tenn
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 4-8/5-7


Team: Rutgers
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: @Ill, OSU, Mich St, @Penn St
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 2-10

Team: Purdue
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: Neb, @NW, @Wisc, Indy
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: Georgia Tech
Record: 2-5
Remaining Schedule: Pitt, @UVA, VT, NC St, UGA
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 2-10/3-9




Team: UConn
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: Navy, @Cincy, ECU, @Temple
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 2-10

Team: Tulsa
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: @Tulane, UCF, Hou, @ECU
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: New Mexico
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: @Nev, AF, @Boise St, Utah St
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 2-10

Team: UNLV
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: @Colo St, Hawai'i, SJSU, @Nev
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 3-9

Team: Bowling Green
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: Akron, @Mia, Ohio, @Buff
Bowl Chance: Poor
Projected Record: 3-9/4-8

Team: Texas State
Record: 2-6
Remaining Schedule: @Lou, S Ala, Troy, @App St, @CCU
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 3-9

Team: Northwestern
Record: 1-6
Remaining Schedule: @Indy, Pur, UMass, Minn, @Ill
Bowl Chance: Very Poor
Projected Record: 3-9

Team: UTEP
Record: 1-6
Remaining Schedule: @NT, Char, @UAB, @NMSU, Rice
Bowl Chance: Nil
Projected Record: 2-10/3-9

Eliminated From A Bowl (7+ losses)
Akron
New Mexico State 
ODU
Rice

South Alabama
UMass

Update on Paul's Playoff Picks:

One of my playoff picks, Oklahoma, lost last weekend, so that means 2 of my picks- OU and UGA, have a loss.  One more eliminates either of them.  Alabama and Clemson both won to stay on track.  Only Georgia has a game this weekend, against Florida, so the other 3 are safe for at least one more week.

Games I'm excited about this weekend:

Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville)- Can the Dawgs score enough on the Florida defense to win?  Can the defense stop the Gators? How good is Florida, really?  For that matter, how good are the Dawgs?
Kansas State @ Kansas- Which team can build off the momentum of last wee?  Which will have a letdown?
Army @ Air Force- Can the Falcons stay alive in the CIC Trophy chase?  Can the Black Knights take the 1st step to claiming the trophy and eliminate AF?
Miami @ FSU- This used to be one of the games of the year, but has meant next to nothing for most of the last 15-20 years.  The question now is, which team is less mediocre than the other?
Utah @ Washington- Can Utah stay on track to win the Pac 12 South?  A loss here could all but  eliminate them...
UAB @ Tennessee- Can UAB pull off the upset?  Will UT be looking beyond them to their last 3 SEC games, and take the Blazers lightly?
SMU @ Memphis- Can the Mustangs stay undefeated?  Can the Tigers take over in the AAC West?
Oregon @ USC- Can the Ducks stay on the path to a possible playoff berth?  Can the Trojans stay in front of Utah?

That's all for now.  Tomorrow, I will have my picks for Week 6.  Feel free to leave a comment and to follow me on Twitter: @pbanderson.

Until next time, may you and your loved ones be blessed!

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