Power Rankings 10/29/19

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Welcome Back!

The Power Rankings are much improved this year, and so far I'm pretty happy with how they are working.  They are still far from perfect, but they're much better than when I first introduced them 2 years ago.  If you've been following me for 2 years, then you'll know that the 1st year was marred by too many ties in the rankings.  Last year was better, but there were still too many ties.  This week, there are no ties again- 2nd week in a row!  One other thing I'm happy about is that my rankings contain no "knee jerk" reactions.  One loss won't drop a team 30 spots, nor will a big win move them that far.

First, a few clarifications about the rankings.  I assign a point value to each win and loss.  Depending on how far away a team is from the ones above or below, and how those teams did, a team may move up or down, or may not move at all.  A team may win and move down, or lose and move up, or stay the same.  It all depends on how the teams around them did, and how far away they are from the teams above and below.

A majority of teams move only 1 or 2 spaces either way (or stay in the same spot); this week 19 of the top 25 moved either up or down.  I have 6 aspects to my preseason rankings.  This week, I dropped my 4th, so every team was affected.  Next week and every week after, I'll drop another, and every team will be affected from here on out.  My coach's rating will be dropped last.

You will notice that a lot more teams continue to make big jumps (defined as + or - 3 spots) and the jumps themselves are bigger.  This is largely because I am taking the results from last week in addition to dropping points from the preseason, which moves everyone closer to zero from the preseason points.

The biggest winners were:

Navy +42
Louisville +36
Central Michigan +35
Louisiana +30
UAB +28
Western Michigan +25
La Tech +24
Wyoming +24
USF +23
Liberty +21
SMU +20
Marshall +20
Ohio +20
Georgia State +20
Toledo +18
FAU +17
Tulane +17
Kansas +17
Temple +15
Southern Miss +13
Colorado State +13
UConn +13
Middle Tennessee +12
Air Force +11
Wake Forest +11
WKU +11
San Diego State +10
North Carolina +9
Hawai'i +9
Charlotte +9
Oklahoma State +7
Arkansas State +7
San Jose State +7
Appalachian State +6
ULM +6
Penn State +5
UCF +5
Boise State +5
Kansas State +5
Ball State +5
Miami, OH +5
UTSA +5
Coastal Carolina +5
Memphis +4

Georgia Southern +4
Northern Illinois +4
Utah +3East Carolina +3
Eastern Michigan +3


The biggest losers were:

Mississippi State -42
South Carolina -34
Texas Tech -33
BYU -33
Nebraska -30
Syracuse -30
Tennessee -26
FSU -25
Northwestern -25
Purdue -23
California -22
West Virginia -19
Ole Miss -19
Maryland -19
Miami, Fl -18
Vanderbilt -18
Virginia Tech -17
Fresno State -16
Missouri -15
Army -15
Pittsburgh -13
Utah State -13
UCLA -11
Nevada -10
Iowa State -9
Cincinnati -9
Arizona State -9
Troy -9
Arizona -8
FIU -8
Georgia Tech -8
Michigan State -7
Washington State -7
NC State -7
Baylor -6
Stanford -6
Boston College -5
Houston -5
New Mexico -5
Auburn -4
Oregon State -4
Kent State -4
Duke -3
Tulsa -3
New Mexico State -3

A couple of observations:

The highest ranked G5 team is Notre Dame at #13 (though they're technically not a G5 program).  Next is UCF at #15.  Utah at #8 is the highest ranked Pac 12 team.

The lowest ranked P5 program is Rutgers at #124.

Some other interesting notes:
- The SEC has 6 in the top 18, then a large drop-off to #47, and has 5 ranked 80 or below.
- The Big Ten has 7 in the top 26, then drops off to #62.  They also have 5 ranked 91 and below.
- The ACC has Clemson at #2, then the next highest is Virginia at #31.  They have 12 teams bunched between 31 and 86.
- The Big 12 has 4 teams in the top 23, but their lowest ranked team is #92- lots of parity.
- The Pac 12 has 4 in the top 20, but 9 in the top 54- more parity.
- The AAC has 5 in the top 34, 3 between 50-79, and 3 at 105+.
- The MWC has Boise St at #21 and Air Force at #28, but has 5 teams- almost half- rated 97 and below.
- The Highest rated MAC team is Ohio at #45. They have 4 teams between 45-60, and the other 8 are 99 and below.
-CUSA has La Tech at #38, with 3 others between 41-44, then another tight grouping at 63 and 64 and 3 teams between 81-89.  The rest- 5 teams- are 104 and below.
- The SBC is led by App St at #32, but only Louisiana joins them in the top 51.  The other 8 teams are at 75 or below.
- Independents have Notre Dame at #13, but the next highest is Liberty at #68.  2 of the bottom 3 teams are Independents.


Now, on to the rankings!

1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Ohio State
4 LSU
5 Georgia
6 Oklahoma
7 Penn State
8 Utah
9 Florida
10 Michigan
11 Washington
12 Auburn
13 Notre Dame
14 Oregon
15 UCF
16 Iowa
17 Wisconsin
18 Texas A&M
19 Texas
20 USC
21 Boise State
22 Oklahoma State
23 TCU
24 Memphis
25 Minnesota
26 Michigan State
27 SMU
28 Air Force
29 Navy
30 Washington State
31 Virginia
32 Appalachian State
33 Iowa State
34 Cincinnati
35 North Carolina
36 San Diego State
37 Baylor
38 Louisiana Tech
39 Stanford
40 Louisville
41 UAB
42 Arizona
43 FAU
44 Marshall
45 Ohio 
46 Arizona State
47 Missouri
48 Wake Forest
49 Kansas State
50 Tulane
51 Louisiana
52 NC State
53 Temple
54 UCLA
55 Central Michigan
56 Duke
57 Virginia Tech
58 Western Michigan
59 Miami, FL
60 Toledo
61 USF
62 Indiana
63 FIU
64 Southern Miss
65 Pittsburgh
66 Boston College
67 Wyoming
68 Liberty
69 South Carolina
70 California
71 Utah State
72 Nebraska
73 Fresno State
74 FSU
75 Arkansas State
76 Kansas
77 Hawai'i
78 Mississippi State
79 Houston
80 Kentucky
81 WKU
82 Georgia State
83 Texas Tech
84 BYU
85 Middle Tennessee
86 Syracuse
87 Colorado
88 Buffalo
89 North Texas
90 Georgia Southern
91 Northwestern
92 West Virginia
93 Purdue
94 Ole Miss
95 Army
96 Troy
97 Colorado State
98 Tennessee
99 Northern Illinois
100 Illinois
101 Ball State
102 Miami, OH
103 Georgia Tech
104 Charlotte
105 East Carolina
106 ULM
107 Tulsa
108 Eastern Michigan
109 UTSA
110 Nevada
111 Connecticut
112 Coastal Carolina
113 Oregon State
114 Vanderbilt
115 San Jose State
116 Texas State
117 Maryland
118 UNLV
119 Bowling Green
120 New Mexico
121 ODU
122 Arkansas
123 Kent State
124 Rutgers
125 UTEP
126 South Alabama
127 Akron
128 Massachusetts
129 New Mexico State
130 Rice

That's all for now! Come back tomorrow for my Odds and Ends, and check out my TWIF Notes from Monday.  And don't forget to follow me on Twitter: @pbanderson

Until next time, may you and your loved ones be blessed!

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