Paul's Picks Week 5
Welcome Back!
I was only 50-17 this past week for a .746 winning percentage. Overall, I am 250-61, still barely over 80% at .804.
Last year, I finished at 71.8%, which was WAY below my usual average (I'm usually around 75%). You should know that I only only pick who wins, not against the spread. I'm not into gambling, and I certainly wouldn't use my picks to gamble with (if you do, that's on YOU!). I don't have inside information, I don't scour injury reports, I don't have a research staff, and this isn't my full time job; it's just a hobby, but I have been following college football for right around 50 years, and I've seen a lot of it.
My goal each year is to be correct 80% of the time over a full season, but I've never actually achieved that. Most years, I'm right around 75%, but I think my high has been close to 78%, with last year perhaps being my worst in many years (very few FBS vs FCS games to pad my stats).
I will give you my pick for every game that will take place for the coming weekend. Most weeks, the early games will start on Thursdays; on weeks where there are earlier games, on Tuesday or Wednesday, I'll give those picks the day of the game. Like my TWIF Notes, there won't be a lot of in-depth analysis, but I hope you will find my unique takes interesting and entertaining.
As we move into midseason, we have a lot more data to go on, which only makes the upsets even more baffling. The fun becomes trying to find out where those upsets are.
Now... on with the picks!
Thursday, September 23
Virginia @ Miami, Fla- Both teams are 2-2, but Miami hasn't played an ACC game yet while the Cavaliers are 0-2 in the conference. However, the U has lost to the only 2 "decent" teams they have played- Alabama and Mich State- and defeated App State by 2 and routed an FCS teams. The Cavs have lost to UNC and WF, and beaten Illinois and an FCS team, so these teams are basically mirror images of each other, record wise. Surprisingly, the Hurricanes only lead the series 11-7, and that's with winning the last 2, and 5 of the last 6. I've gone with the Wahoos the last 2 weeks, and been burned, so I'm picking the 'Canes to win at home.
Friday September 24
Houston @ Tulsa- The Golden Hurricane got their 1st win last week, but have been competitive in all 3 of their losses. The Cougars are 3-1, but their wins are against an FCS team and 2 teams with a combined 1-6 record and no wins against FCS competition. UH leads the series 25-19, and has won the last 2, and 5 of the last 6. This is another coin flip game, so I'm staying with the home team. Tulsa wins.
Iowa @ Maryland- This is a long and storied rivalry (sarcasm alert) with the Hawkeyes leading 2-1. Both teams enter this game with unblemished records, but both have flaws. The Terrapins are averaging 29 ppg and giving up 19 ppg in their 3 games against FBS teams. Iowa is scoring 28.75 ppg and allowing 11 ppg, and haven't allowed more than 24 in a game since Nebraska scored 28 in the final game of the 2018 regular season, a string of 26 straight games. This looks like a low scoring game, something around 20-17, or 14-13. Iowa wins.
BYU @ Utah State- The Cougars looked as good as last year when they defeated 3 Pac 12 teams to begin the season, then looked ordinary in defeating a USF team last week that hasn't beaten an FBS team since 2019. The Aggies suffered their 1st defeat last week, to Boise State, after wins over a Pac 12 team, an FCS team, and a fellow conference rival. BYU leads the series 49-37-3, but USU has won 2 of the last 3. This could be a close game, but BYU has won 7 of the last 9 played in Logan. BYU wins.
Saturday, September 25
Arkansas @ Georgia- The Razorbacks are one of the surprise teams of the SEC, as they have defeated both Texas and Texas A&M rather handily, and their average margin of victory this season has been 21.25 ppg, all against FBS competition. The Dawgs are also 4-0, but they were somewhat expected to be there, as their only suspected stumbling block was expected to be Clemson. The Bulldogs' average MOV is 36.25 ppg, also against FBS teams. UGA is averaging 42 ppg and allowing 5.75 ppg, while the Hogs are scoring 35.75 and allowing 14.5. Georgia leads the series 11-4, having won the last 2 (2014 and 2020) and 8 of the last 9. This will be only the 5th meeting in Athens, however, and Arkansas is 2-2 in the Classic City. The 1st 4 meetings were in bowl games- UA won the 1st 2 in the '69 Sugar Bowl and the '76 Cotton Bowl, and UGA won the next 2 in the '87 Liberty Bowl and '91 Independence Bowl- and they have met once in the SECCG, with UGA winning 30-3 in 2002. This will be a fantastic game! UGA wins, but it won't be easy.
Michigan @ Wisconsin- If this were a "normal" UW team, this would be an easy pick, but the Badgers have just not looked good since crushing the Wolverines early in the 2020 season, as they are 2-5 since that game. UM leads the series 51-17-1, though the Badgers have won the last 2, 3 of the last 4, and 5 of the last 7. The Wolverines win to stay undefeated, as UW can't seem to score against P5 teams lately, being held to 13 or less in 5 of their last 6, and 20 or less in all 6 (they scored 34 against Eastern Michigan).
Tennessee @ Missouri- The Volunteers are likely to win an SEC game this year from sheer luck, and this is one of their chances. The Tigers lead the series 5-4, but UT has won the last 2, as these 2 teams have traded 2-game streaks against each other. It's Mizzou's turn. Missouri wins at home.
Charlotte @ Illinois- Though the Illini are only 1-4, they've been competitive in every game except one (@Virginia), and their other 3 losses are by 7 points or less. The 49ers are a cool 3-1 with a P5 win over a 3-1 Duke and their only loss on the road at Ga State. I expect this to be a close game, but Illinois will win, pulling away in the 2nd half in this 1st ever meeting between the two.
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech- The Yellow Jackets have shocked college football the last 2 weeks by almost beating Clemson, and then routing UNC by 23 pts. The Panthers "signature" win is a 7-pt victory over the SEC's Tennessee. Both teams have a loss to a MAC team, but GT's was in the 1st week, while Pitt's was 2 weeks ago. Pitt leads the series 10-5, and have won 5 of the last 6, including 3 of the last 4 played in Atlanta. All signs point to the Panthers, but I'm going with the Jackets at home.
Duke @ North Carolina- The Blue Devils have come on strong after their opening loss at Charlotte, but their 3 victories were all over what I would call weak competition, and all at home. The Tar Heels are 2-0 at home, and 0-2 on the road. UNC leads the series 61-41-4, having won the last 2. I don't see the Heels falling to 1-3 in the ACC. UNC wins to go 3-0 at home.
Minnesota @ Purdue- The Golden Gophers are a tough team to figure out; they looked good in defeat to Ohio State and in blowing out Colorado, but look mediocre in barely beating Miami (Ohio, not Florida) and in losing to hapless Bowling Green. The Boilermakers have played decently in all 4 of their games, their only blemish a 14-pt loss to Notre Dame. Minnesota leads the series 40-33-3 and have won the last 3, and 7 of the last 8. However, Purdue has won 3 of the last 5 played in West Lafayette. Expect a close game, but Purdue wins.
Toledo @ UMass- The Rockets lead this series 4-1, with their only loss to the Minutemen coming in their 1st meeting, in 1976. Toledo wins, moving to 3-2 and keeping UMass winless.
Texas @ TCU- The Horned Frogs don't seem to be playing defense this year like they are used to seeing in Fort Worth, as they are allowing an average of 37 ppg in their 2 games against FBS foes. The Longhorns are averaging 46.75 ppg. That's a recipe for disaster, if you're a TCU fan. UT leads the all-time series 63-27-1, but TCU has won the last 2, and 6 of the last 7. The Frogs can still score, but expect Texas to score more. UT wins a high scoring game.
Memphis @ Temple- The good news is that the Owls have 2 wins; the bad news is that they still aren't very good, as their wins are against Akron and an FCS team. The Tigers suffered their 1st loss last week, but still own a victory over Miss State. The series is tied 3-3, with teams alternating wins and losses. It's Temple's turn to win, but Memphis breaks the pattern. Tigers win.
Western Michigan @ Buffalo- The Bulls played Coastal Carolina close, but that's their main claim to fame this season. The Broncos have a victory on the road over Pitt and at home over San Jose State, last year's MWC champion. WMU leads the series 7-2, and have won the last 2, but these teams haven't met since 2017. WMU wins.
Louisville @ Wake Forest- The Cardinals have done well since their opening loss to Ole Miss, with wins over an FCS team, UCF at home, and FSU by 8 on the road. The Demon Deacons are undefeated, having beaten ODU, an FCS team, FSU at home by 21, and UVA on the road. In comparing these 2, the question becomes "Is beating UCF at home by 7 better than beating UVA by 20 on the road?", because the rest of the results are pretty comparable. UL leads the series 6-2, and have won the last 2. This will be a good game. A few weeks ago, I found myself going with the road underdog a lot. This week, I'm consistently going with the home team. WF wins.
Appalachian State @ Georgia State- The Panthers have never beaten the Mountaineers in 7 tries, but last year was their closest loss (17-13) and only the 2nd time they had lost by less than 21 points. GSU is like night and day from how they looked in their opening 2 games, so I expect them to give ASU another tough game, but the Mountaineers are the class of the SBC, and the Panthers just aren't quite ready for the upper echelon yet. ASU wins.
USC @ Colorado- This is a game between 2 teams in freefall, but who knows which team will hit bottom first and begin to climb back up. The Buffaloes are 0-14 against the Trojans, and only 4 of the losses have been by 1 score. USC wins, but only because someone has to.
Cincinnati @ Notre Dame- The Bearcats have never defeated the Fighting Irish, but this is a misleading stat, as they have only played once, with ND winning 58-0... on October 20, 1900! In South Bend, Indiana. This game could very well decide the trajectory for each of these teams. A win for the Bearcats could vault them toward a possible playoff appearance, assuming they win out; a loss ends any hopes they have to make the CFP. A ND victory adds another big notch in their belt, and strengthens their resume', especially as other teams struggle and/or fall throughout the rest of this season; a loss all but eliminates them from the CFP. The Irish have looked strong the last 2 weeks, but are still a work in progress. Cincinnati had a week off to get ready for this game. Bearcats win.
ULM @ Coastal Carolina- The Warhawks ended a 12-game losing streak 2 weeks ago, and then ended an 8-game SBC losing streak last week, and are 2-1 for the 1st time since 2018. The Chanticleers have continued to roll along, only being challenged by Buffalo so far this year, and now have a 16-game regular season winning streak, and a 9-game SBC winning streak. CCU has never beaten ULM, losing all 3 tries, but they'll get the victory this time. CCU wins.
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois- While the Eagles have the better record, the Huskies have the better win (over Ga Tech), and a close loss to an undefeated Wyoming, and are playing at home. NIU leads the series 33-16-2, but EMU has won the last 2, breaking an 11-game winning streak in the series by the Huskies. This will be a close game, but NIU wins.
Ole Miss @ Alabama- Both teams enter this game undefeated, Bama at 4-0, Ole Miss at 3-0 and coming out of an off week. Against FBS competition, the Crimson Tide is averaging 46 ppg and allowing 18.7 ppg. The Rebels are scoring 52 ppg (2 games) and giving up 22.5. I'm sure you'll be shocked (shocked, I say!) to learn that the Tide is dominating this series, leading 52-10-2, and have won the last 5 in a row after Ole Miss won 2 in a row in 2014 and 2015. A good way to pad your prediction stats is to never pick against Alabama (or Ohio State, or Oklahoma, or...). Alabama wins.
Oregon @ Stanford- Every year, there are a few teams that always seem to do the opposite of what I pick; I pick them to win- they lose, and if I pick them to lose- they win. The Cardinal seems to be one of those teams this year. Stanford leads the series 49-34-1, and have won 3 of the last 5, but Oregon has won the last 2. I hope I'm not dooming the Ducks to a loss by picking against Stanford here, mainly because OU is one of my playoff picks, but the Ducks win easily.
Oklahoma @ Kansas State- The Sooners have won their 3 FBS games by 7 pts or less each, so they seem to be vulnerable. However, the Wildcats were just beaten by 11 by Okla State, so I'm not sure they're the team that can take advantage, especially with QB Skylar Thompson still unavailable. OU leads the series 76-21-4, but KSU has won the last 2, and is 4-5 against the Sooners over the last 9 meetings, but 3 of those 4 wins were in Norman. Oklahoma wins another close game.
Ohio State @ Rutgers- The Scarlet Knights are 0-7 against the Buckeyes, and their closest result was last year, when they lost 49-27. The Buckeyes will win easily.
Troy @ South Carolina- These 2 played 3 games between 2004 and 2010, with SC winning all 3, but haven't met since. The Gamecocks are not a good team, but have a legitimate defense, holding 3 of their 4 opponents to 17 points or less (UGA scored 40). The Trojans have played well defensively, holding all 4 foes to 29 pts or less (2 under 10), but haven't scored over 21 against FBS competition, scoring 16 or less twice. SC wins in a rout.
FIU @ FAU- The Panthers have yet to beat an FBS team; the Owls are expected to challenge for the CUSA East title. These are not the same. FAU leads the series 14-5 and have won the last 3, all by at least 19 pts. FAU wins again., and I'll be surprised if it's close.
Syracuse @ FSU- The Seminoles have really fallen on hard times, and this may be one of only 2 remaining games where they are favored (the other being at home vs UMass). The Orange have tripled their wins from last year, with their best win being last week over Liberty at home. They also played a decent Rutgers team relatively close, losing 17-7, the only game so far in which they have failed to score 24 points. FSU has allowed 31+ to all 3 FBS opponents, and have been held to 14 and 23 in their 2 ACC games. FSU leads the all-time series 11-2, but they've split the last 2 games. Syracuse wins, continuing the Seminoles' dismal season.
Texas Tech @ West Virginia- I thought the Red Raiders might be pretty decent this year, but their 35-point loss to Texas last week gives me pause. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers played OU to almost a tie, and have defeated Va Tech and had a close loss to Maryland, with both losses being on the road. WVU leads the series 6-4, but TT has won the last 2. I expect a close game but WVU wins.
UCF @ Navy- The Knights have had a week off to fix what went wrong in their loss to Louisville. The Midshipmen played Houston within 8 after their week off, but no one is sure how good the Cougars really are. UCF is 2-0 against Navy, winning by 10 and 11 points. Expect a similar result. UCF wins.
Tulane @ East Carolina- The Pirates look vastly improved this year, with close losses to App State (relatively) and South Carolina, and wins over an FCS team and @Marshall. The Green Wave has only a victory over an FCS team to show so far, but has close losses to Oklahoma and UAB, and a blowout loss to Ole Miss. ECU leads the series 11-6, but Tulane has won the last 2, and 3 of the last 4.This is a tough one to pick- flip a coin. ECU wins a close one.
Central Michigan @ Miami, Oh- This is yet another game between 2 teams with somewhat similar resume's. While the Redhawks have only the one victory over an FCS team, they have a close loss to Minnesota, a fairly close 13-pt loss to Army, and a blowout loss to Cincinnati, with all 3 losses on the road. The Chippewas, meanwhile, have an FCS win, and a close win over FIU, but also a 10-pt loss to Missouri, and a blowout loss to LSU. Both of their losses were also on the road. So the 2 teams are a combined 3-0 at home and 0-5 on the road. Miami leads the series 15-13-1, and have won the last 3, most recently in the 2019 MAC Championship Game. I have no idea who is going to win this game, so I'm picking the home team- Miami.
Ohio @ Akron- The Bobcats were expected by many to be the best in the MAC East, but so far have been dreadful, as they have gone 0-4 in nonconference games. The Zips have also been dreadful, but at least beat their FCS foe (Ohio lost to theirs). Ohio leads the series 23-13-1, including the last 3, and 12 of the last 13. Both teams desperately need this win. Ohio wins, but I am in no way confident in this pick.
Kent State @ Bowling Green- The Falcons have won 2 straight, including a huge upset win over Minnesota, to end their 10-game losing streak. A win here would be their 1st 3-game winning streak since 2016. The Golden Flashes are 1-3, with their lone victory over an FCS team, but their 3 losses have come on the road to Texas A&M, Iowa, and Maryland, and all were semi-competitive until late in the game. BGSU leads the series 60-22-6, but KS has won the last 3. Kent State wins.
Nevada @ Boise State- The Wolf Pack come into this game off of their 1st loss of 2021, but also out of their off week. The Broncos already have 2 losses, to UCF and to Okla State, and haven't had 3 regular season losses since 2013. BS leads the series 30-13, and have won the last 6, and 16 of the last 17, but this just may be Nevada's year. Nevada gets their 1st win in Boise since 1997.
USF @ SMU- The Bulls lead the Mustangs 3-2 in this series, but USF has lost 15 of their last 17 games, and their only 2 wins in that span were over FCS teams. In contrast, SMU is 4-0 this year, and has won 21 of their last 27 regular season games. SMU wins big.
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern- The Eagles have a new interim coach, Kevin Whitley, and are hoping to hand the Red Wolves their 4th straight loss. Neither team has an FBS victory this season. ASU leads the series 3-2, but GSU gets this one at home.
Army @ Ball State- This will be the 2nd straight MAC opponent for the Black Knights. Army and Ball State have met 6 times previously, and are 3-3 against each other. The Cardinals are coming off a MAC title and an Arizona Bowl victory over San Jose State, but are only 1-3 so far in 2021 as they have lost to Penn State and Wyoming on the road, and to conference foe Toledo at home. Army is 4-0, but their best win appears to be over 1-3 Georgia State. Army wins a close one.
Washington State @ California- Both teams are 1-3, with wins over FCS teams and a loss to an MWC team. Cal has 1 loss to a fellow Pac 12 foe, while WSU has 2. The Golden Bears lead the series 48-28-5, and have won 2 of the last 3, and 12 of the last 15. The Cougars have few chances for wins, and this is one of them, but it's not going to happen. Cal wins at home.
Florida @ Kentucky- UK's win in 2018 broke a 31-game UF winning streak, and the last time the Wildcats won in Lexington was in 1986. The Gators look like the real deal this year, despite all their losses on offense from last year, while UK has struggled to eke out wins over Missouri, FCS Chattanooga, and South Carolina, none of which should scare anyone. As much as I want the Wildcats to win this game, I just don't think they will. UF wins.
La Tech @ NC State- It would be just like the Wolfpack to have a letdown after their big win over Clemson last week, so they better not take the Bulldogs lightly, as this is a quality CUSA team. LT is only 2-2, but their losses are by 1 to Miss State and by 2 to undefeated SMU. NC State won the only previous matchup, 40-14 in 2013. Wolfpack win, but it may be close into the 2nd half.
UTSA @ UNLV- The Roadrunners are on a 7-game regular season winning streak, and the Rebels have lost 10 consecutive games, but UTSA better not take UNLV lightly, as they have played a few teams close over their losing streak, including Fresno State last week. UTSA wins this 1st time meeting.
Southern Miss @ Rice- The Golden Eagles and the Owls have a similar profile: both are 1-3, both have a win over an FCS team, and both have been routed by P5 teams. The differences are subtle: USM has lost to 2 SBC teams (by 24 and by 12), and Rice lost to Arkansas by 21 and to Houston by 37. USM leads the series 6-5, but Rice won last year, 30-6. Go with the home team. Rice wins.
Air Force @ New Mexico- The Lobos have lost their last 2 after winning their 1st 2; the Falcons are 3-1 with their only loss by 4 to Utah State. AF has held 3 of their 4 opponents to 14 points or less while scoring 23+ in all 4 of their games. UNM was held to 13 or less twice, and has allowed 26.3 ppg against FBS teams. The Falcons lead the series 24-14, and have won the last 3. Make it 4 in a row. AF wins.
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M- The Aggies are coming off of their 1st loss, and are struggling to score points. Against the 2 P5 teams they have faced, TAMU has scored 10 points in each, but they have only allowed 37 points total in all 4 games. The Bulldogs are averaging 24.5 against their 2 P5 foes, but their defense has given up 103 points in their 4 games. The series is tied at 7 wins apiece. I see a low scoring game, but TAMU winning at home.
Baylor @ Oklahoma State- Both teams come into this game undefeated. The Cowboys have 3 close wins- over an FCS team, over 1-3 Tulsa, and over Boise State on the road- and an 11-point win over Kansas St. The Bears have a close win over Texas State, a rout of an FCS team, a rout of Kansas (which is like an FCS team), and a 2-point win over Iowa State. OSU leads the series 21-18, but BU has won 2 of the last 3, and 5 of the last 7. If this were in Waco, I'm pretty sure I would go with the Bears, but since it's in Stillwater, OSU wins a close one.
Marshall @ Middle Tennessee- The Thundering Herd have lost the last 2 after winning their 1st 2 and are 0-1 in CUSA. The Blue Raiders are 1-3, their only win against an FCS team. The Herd leads the series 6-4, but MTSU has won 2 of the last 3. Marshall wins.
Liberty @ UAB- This is the 1st meeting between these teams, and both come in at 3-1. The Blazers have looked impressive against every team not named Georgia, and the Flames are not named Georgia. UAB wins.
Kansas @ Iowa State- The Jayhawks actually lead the series 50-44-6, but the Cyclones have won the last 6 and 10 of the last 11. ISU wins again.
Indiana @ Penn State- It appears that the magic has disappeared from Bloomington. The Nittany Lions lead the series 22-2, though the Hoosiers did win last year, in OT, a result that sent PSU spiraling to an 0-5 start before they recovered. Since that start, the Lions have won 8 straight. Make it 9 straight. Penn State wins.
WKU @ Michigan State- The Hilltoppers have lost to Army by 3 and to Indiana by 2, so this is a quality team- the Spartans better not take them lightly. Be that as it may, MSU should win this 1st time meeting.
Boston College @ Clemson- This will be the 3rd year in a row the 2 teams will meet in Clemson, but the 1st time (maybe ever?) that the Eagles come in with a better record. While BC is unbeaten, their best win is in OT at home against 2-2 Missouri, as their other 3 wins are vs an FCS team, @Umass, and @Temple. However, the Eagles are averaging 38 ppg against FBS foes, and allowing only 21.7. Meanwhile, the Tigers are averaging only 12.7 ppg and giving up 15 ppg, so if BC can get to 20 points, their chances of winning are pretty good! Clemson leads the series 19-9-2, and has won the last 10. I may regret it, but I'm not convinced the Eagles are ready for prime time yet, especially with the availability of QB Phil Jurkovec in question. Clemson wins a low scoring game.
UConn @ Vanderbilt- Both of these teams are just plain awful, but the Huskies are awfuller. The Commodores lead the series 2-1. Vandy wins, because someone has to, and they're at home.
Northwestern @ Nebraska- The Cornhuskers keep finding new ways to lose close games, so the key for them is to get a big lead and then keep it. Of course, that's easier said than done, especially against Big Ten competition. The Wildcats have established an early pattern of following a win with a loss, and since they won last week, that means this week should be a loss. The 'Huskers lead the series 8-6, but the Cats have won 3 of the last 4. I'm going with my gut (and the home team). Nebraska wins.
Louisiana @ South Alabama- South Alabama's win at Bowling Green looks a lot better today than it did a week ago. The Jaguars have had a week off to prepare for the Ragin' Cajuns, and they'll need it, as they trail in the series, 7-2, and have lost the last 5. The Cajuns aren't as good as last year (or the year before) but until someone knocks them off their throne in the SBC West, I'm going to keep picking them. UL wins.
Auburn @ LSU- The last time Auburn won in Baton Rouge was in 1999, and they have lost 10 straight since then. The Bayou Bengals have appeared to turn things around since their opening loss to UCLA, but their offense took a step back last week, as did their defense. The War Eagles have struggled each of the last 2 weeks, losing to Penn State and barely escaping Georgia State. LSU leads the series 31-23-1, and has won 3 of the last 4 over the Plainsmen. LSU wins an 11th straight at home.
ODU @ UTEP- The Monarchs haven't won an FBS game since late in the 2018 season (they canceled the 2020 season), though they have 3 FCS wins since their last FBS win. The Miners, at 3-1, are off to their best start in years, and look to extend that this week. ODU leads the series 2-1, but they haven't played since 2016. UTEP wins.
Washington @ Oregon State- The Huskies may have righted the ship after their 2 opening losses, but the Beavers have won 3 straight after their opening loss, including routing USC. UW has dominated the all-time series, holding the 67-34-4 edge and winning the last 9 meetings. It seems like I'm going with the home team a lot, but OSU wins.
Arizona State @ UCLA- Both teams are 3-1, and both are 1-0 in the Pac 12.The Bruins have a win over LSU, but a loss to Fresno State, while the Sun Devils have a loss to BYU, but no comparable victory. UCLA leads the series 22-14-1, and has won the last 2, and 3 of the last 4. Once again, I'm going with the home team. Bruins win.
New Mexico State @ San Jose State- The Aggies haven't defeated an FBS team since late in the 2019 season, and their chances this year aren't looking too good. The Spartans may not be as good this year as they were last year, but they're still a quality MWC team. SJSU leads the series 17-3, and have won 8 of the last 9. SJSU wins.
Fresno State @ Hawaii- The Bulldogs may be one of the best teams in the MWC this year, as they have a win over UCLA and a close loss to undefeated Oregon. The Rainbow Warriors lost to that same UCLA team by 34 points. FS leads the series 29-23-1, and has won 8 of the last 10, but UH won last year, 34-19. The Warriors almost always play well on The Island, so expect a close game. Fresno State wins.
That's all for this week- "only" 61 games!
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