Power Rankings 10-18-22

Welcome Back!

After 7 weeks, I have finally dropped all of my preseason factors. This means that we have one more week of extreme volatility this week, but that now the rankings are based solely on the results from this year. 

While I will still list who moved up or down the most, I would prefer that you focus on where each team actually is, as the movement was still affected by the final elimination of the preseason points. You will notice that I have new teams at both the top and the bottom!

We also have the return of ties. Those of you who have been following this blog from its inception may remember that my 1st year of Power Rankings was littered with ties- sometimes I would have several teams tied for the same ranking even. As I have refined my formula, those have occurred less and less. But this week, they rear their ugly heads, as I have a tie at #77 and at #99.

While there are still a few anomalies, as in some teams I feel are too high and some too low, by and large, I'm pretty pleased with where 90% or more of the teams are placed. Again, my goal is not so much to be correct right now, but to be correct at the end of the season.


Here are the teams that improved the most:

Georgia Southern +69 to #32

Kansas +67 to #12

Stanford +66 to #55

ODU +55 to #43

Vanderbilt +52 to #65

Georgia Tech +50 to #50

Tulane +49 to #23

Rice +45 to #51

UNLV +44 to #53

TCU +41 to #7

Duke +41 to #72

Ohio +39 to #66

LSU +34 to #30

West Virginia +33 to #54

Indiana +33 to #83

ULM +31 to #81

Washington +30 to #45

Texas State +29 to #70

Rutgers +28 to #75

San Jose State +27 to #42

Arizona +27 to #77

UConn +27 to #96

Texas +26 to #18

Syracuse +24 to #9

Missouri +23 to #62

Southern Miss +23 to #86

Bowling Green +23 to #92

Illinois +22 to #3

USC +22 to #10

FSU +20 to #22

Ball State +20 to #82


Here are the teams that dropped the most:

Houston -58 to #108

Western Michigan -55 to #127

Nevada -51 to #129

Coastal Carolina -50 to #56

Notre Dame -49 to #64

Wisconsin -49 to #107

Miami, Oh -47 to #102

Pittsburgh -44 to #80

Appalachian State -43 to #113

Army -42 to #104

Iowa State -41 to #76

Marshall -41 to #101

Baylor -40 to #60

California -40 to #103

Fresno State -40 to #111

San Diego State -37 to #93

Cincinnati -35 to #47

Arizona State -31 to #90

Nebraska -31 to #97

Louisiana -31 to #119

NC State -29 to #44

James Madison -27 to #31

Liberty -24 to #48

Oklahoma -24 to #69

Boise State -23 to #74

Central Michigan -23 to #118

Middle Tennessee -22 to #89

Utah State -22 to #105

BYU -20 to #41

Air Force -20 to #57


NOTE: Much of the big jumps are due to strength of schedule. For example, Cincinnati and Liberty are a combined 11-2, but they dropped 35 and 24 spots respectively because they haven't beaten quality opponents, and the wins they do have, for the most part, have been close. 


Anyway, here are my rankings from 1 to 131 (LW stands for Last Week's Ranking). One thing that is new is that I have added the AP rankings in a separate column, so you can see how my rankings compare to the AP Poll. Notice how my rankings are more closely aligned with the AP Poll.


RankTeamLWAP
1Tennessee73
2Ohio State22
3Illinois2518
4Georgia11
5Michigan54
6Alabama36
7TCU488
8Clemson95
9Syracuse3314
10USC3212
11Ole Miss117
12Kansas79
13UCLA109
14Oregon State29
15Mississippi State1624
16North Carolina2622
17Penn State1716
18Texas4420
19Wake Forest1313
20South Alabama34
21Arkansas31
22FSU42
23Tulane7225
24Utah1815
25Kansas State2717
26Oregon2310
27Oklahoma State811
28Maryland46
29Troy47
30LSU64
31James Madison4
32Georgia Southern101
33Texas Tech49
34UTSA19
35Purdue39
36South Carolina53
37UCF38
38Toledo22
39Kentucky4319
40Washington State40
41BYU21
42San Jose State69
43ODU98
44NC State1523
45Washington75
46Minnesota28
47Cincinnati1221
48Liberty24
49Texas A&M30
50Georgia Tech100
51Rice96
52Florida41
53UNLV97
54West Virginia87
55Stanford121
56Coastal Carolina6
57Air Force37
58Auburn54
59Louisville57
60Baylor20
61Memphis68
62Missouri85
63Notre Dame14
64East Carolina73
65Vanderbilt117
66Ohio105
67WKU61
68Wyoming77
69Oklahoma45
70Texas State99
71UAB52
72Duke113
73Buffalo84
74Boise State51
75Rutgers103
76Iowa State35
T77Arizona104
T77SMU65
79Miami, Fl76
80Pittsburgh36
81ULM112
82Ball State102
83Indiana116
84Michigan State81
85Iowa74
86Southern Miss109
87North Texas89
88Eastern Michigan80
89Middle Tenn67
90Arizona State59
91Georgia State91
92Bowling Green115
93San Diego State56
94Kent State86
95Navy94
96UConn123
97Nebraska66
98UTEP93
T99Boston College92
T99Tulsa90
101Marshall60
102Miami, OH55
103California63
104Army62
105Utah State83
106FAU107
107Wisconsin58
108Houston50
109La Tech110
110Virginia Tech106
111Fresno State71
112USF119
113Appalachian State70
114Colorado126
115Temple124
116Northern Illinois118
117Arkansas State120
118Central Michigan95
119Louisiana88
120New Mexico111
121Colorado State108
122Hawai'i122
123New Mexico State129
124Northwestern127
125Virginia114
126FIU128
127Western Michigan82
128UMass131
129Nevada78
130Charlotte125
131Akron130



Feel free to leave a comment. Check out my TWIF Notes from yesterday, and come back tomorrow for my Odds and Ends! 

Until next time, may you and your loved ones be blessed!  


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