Power Rankings 10-25-22

Welcome Back!

After 8 weeks, the big jumps, both up or down, now come from the actual wins or losses, who you beat or lost to, and by how much. And for the most part, those jumps aren't quite as big as they've been for the past few weeks.

There is a new aspect that shows up this week that has been masked by the elimination of preseason factors over the last few weeks: teams that are idle will move up or down depending on how the teams around them did. If the teams above them lost, they will more than likely move up a spot or two. If the teams below them won, they will move down. As every team has off weeks at different times throughout the season, this will affect each team at different times. Do not be alarmed; it will all even out in the end. You will notice that I have new teams at both the top and the bottom. 

We also have the return of ties. Those of you who have been following this blog from its inception may remember that my 1st year of Power Rankings was littered with ties- sometimes I would have several teams tied for the same ranking even. As I have refined my formula, those have occurred less and less. But this week, they rear their ugly heads again (like last week), as I have a tie at #89 and at #93.

Teams I feel are too high include Troy, Ga Southern, Texas Tech, Arkansas, and FSU. Teams that are too low include Utah, Liberty, Cincinnati, NC State, and WKU. And these are teams only listed in the top half, and are only a few that I feel are off, and strictly my opinion. There are others that I feel are off 1-5 spots either way, but these are some that I feel are more than 5 away from where they should be.

While there are still a few anomalies, as in some teams I feel are too high and some too low, by and large, I'm pretty pleased with where 90% or more of the teams are placed. Again, my goal is not so much to be correct right now, but to be correct at the end of the season.

Here are the teams that improved the most:

Marshall +31 to #70

Wisconsin +28 to #79

Baylor +20 to #40

East Carolina +20 to #44

Buffalo +20 to #53

Virginia +20 to #105

Southern Miss +17 to #69

LSU +15 to #15

Boise State +15 to #59

Army +15 to #89

Liberty +14 to #34

Oregon +13 to #13

Oklahoma State +13 to #13

Troy +12 to #17

Notre Dame +12 to #51

Eastern Michigan +12 to #76

Bowling Green +12 to #80

Duke +10 to #62

Appalachian State +10 to #103

Here are the teams that dropped the most:

Georgia Tech -33 to #83

Purdue -22 to #57

Texas State -19 to #89

ULM -19 to #100

James Madison -18 to #49

Ball State -17 to #99

UNLV -18 to #71

Kansas -16 to #28

Air Force -16 to #73

Georgia State -16 to #107

Miami, Fl -14 to #93

Miami, Oh -14 to #116

Navy -13 to #108

West Virginia -12 to #66

Vanderbilt -12 to #77

UCF -10 to #47

Toledo -10 to #48

UAB -10 to #81

Indiana -10 to #93

NOTE: 5 teams didn't move at all, and 12 teams moved 1 spot either up or down. Syracuse was the highest ranked team that didn't move, staying at #9, while Nevada stayed at #129, the lowest ranked team that stayed stationary.

Anyway, here are my rankings from 1 to 131 (LW stands for Last Week's Ranking). One thing that is new is that I have added the AP rankings in a separate column, so you can see how my rankings compare to the AP Poll. Notice how my rankings are more closely aligned with the AP Poll. I've also extrapolated the "also receiving votes" from the poll and included those.

Rank	Team	LW	AP
1	Ohio State	2	2
2	Tennessee	1	3
3	Alabama	6	6
4	Clemson	8	5
5	TCU	7	7
6	Illinois	3	17
7	Georgia	4	1
8	Michigan	5	4
9	Syracuse	9	16
10	Penn State	17	13
11	USC	10	10
12	Oregon State	14	28
13	Oregon	26	8
14	Oklahoma State	27	9
15	LSU	30	18
16	Wake Forest	19	10
17	Troy	29	31
18	Ole Miss	11	15
19	Tulane	23	23
20	North Carolina	16	21
21	UCLA	13	12
22	Mississippi State	15	29
23	Georgia Southern	32
24	Texas Tech	33
25	Arkansas	21	32
26	Texas	18	26
27	FSU	22	32
28	Kansas	12
29	South Alabama	20
30	South Carolina	36	25
31	Utah	24	14
32	Kansas State	25	22
33	UTSA	34	32
34	Maryland	28	30
34	Liberty	48	27
36	Kentucky	39	19
37	Washington State	40
38	Cincinnati	47	20
39	Washington	45	32
40	Baylor	60
41	San Jose State	42
42	NC State	44	24
43	ODU	43
44	East Carolina	64
45	Rice	51
46	BYU	41
47	UCF	37
48	Toledo	38
49	James Madison	31
50	Minnesota	46
51	Notre Dame	63
52	Texas A&M	49
53	Buffalo	73
54	Florida	52
55	Stanford	55
56	Louisville	59
57	Purdue	35
58	Missouri	62
59	Boise State	74
60	Coastal Carolina	56
61	WKU	67
62	Duke	72
63	Auburn	58
64	Wyoming	68
65	Ohio	66
66	West Virginia	54
67	Rutgers	75
68	Memphis	61
69	Southern Miss	86
70	Marshall	101
71	UNLV	53
72	Oklahoma	69
73	Air Force	57
74	Iowa State	76
75	Arizona	T77
76	Eastern Michigan	88
77	Vanderbilt	65
78	Michigan State	84
79	Wisconsin	107
80	Bowling Green	92
81	UAB	71
82	SMU	T77
83	Georgia Tech	50
84	San Diego State	93
85	Middle Tenn	89
86	Pittsburgh	80
87	Iowa	85
88	North Texas	87
T89	Army	104
T89	Texas State	70
91	UConn	96
92	Tulsa	T99
T93	Indiana	83
T93	Miami, Fl	79
95	UTEP	98
96	Kent State	94
97	Nebraska	97
98	Arizona State	90
99	Ball State	82
100	ULM	81
101	Houston	108
102	Boston College	T99
103	Appalachian State	113
104	Fresno State	111
105	Virginia	125
106	California	103
107	Georgia State	91
108	Navy	95
109	Virginia Tech	110
110	USF	112
111	Utah State	105
112	La Tech	109
113	Louisiana	119
114	FAU	106
115	Colorado	114
116	Miami, OH	102
117	Northern Illinois	116
118	Colorado State	121
119	New Mexico State	123
120	Northwestern	124
121	Temple	115
122	Western Michigan	127
123	FIU	126
124	Central Michigan	118
125	Arkansas State	117
126	UMass	128
127	Hawai'i	122
128	New Mexico	120
129	Nevada	129
130	Akron	131
131	Charlotte	130

Feel free to leave a comment. Check out my TWIF Notes from yesterday, and come back tomorrow for my Odds and Ends! 

Until next time, may you and your loved ones be blessed!