Week 10 Power Rankings and Bowl Possibilities

By
Here are my power rankings after week 10 of the college football season.  A few reminders:

1) These are my rankings, and no one else's.  While my formula isn't perfect, I'm enjoying seeing how it works.  I have a few tweaks planned for next year already, and may make more.
2) Wins count a lot, losses a little, and not playing count as nothing, so you will see a team that has a bye week drop in the standings.  You will also see teams that lose move up, and teams that win move down.  A lot depends on how the teams around them did.  This will all even out over the course of the season (I hope), except that the hurricanes caused several cancellations.  This is another tweak I will need to make to my formula.
3)  The plus or minus after the team is how many spaces they moved up or down from last week.  An E means they stayed in the same place.
4) Because of how my formula is set up, there are a lot of ties for positions.  Hopefully, this will diminish as the season wears on.  I'm also hoping that the changes I've decided on will alleviate these next year, or at least reduce their occurrences.
5) These rankings are not predictive.  A team ranked higher would not necessarily win against a team ranked lower.  However, I hope to be pretty accurate as to the teams that make the playoffs.

On to the rankings!

1. Alabama E
2. Oklahoma +1
3. USC -1
4. Clemson -1
5. Wisconsin +1
6. Georgia +2
7. Ohio St -4
8. Okla St -1
9. Washington +2
10. Penn State -1
11. TCU +2
12. LSU -2
13. Notre Dame +1
14. Stanford -3
      Auburn +1
16. Michigan E
17. Miami, Fl +1
18. Va Tech E
19. Oregon +1
20. Louisville -2
      Wash St +2
22. Boise St -1
23. FSU E
      ECU +1
25. W Virginia E
26. Kansas St +3
      Northwestern +4
28. Texas A&M -3
      Texas -1
      Utah +4
      San Diego St +6
32. NC St -4
33. Mich St +4
34. Florida -3
      Miss St +1
36. S Carolina -4
37. Iowa +3
38. Toledo E
39. Houston +1
40. Nebraska -4
41. UCLA -2
42. Tennessee +1
43. Memphis +3
44. Arkansas -1
45. BYU -3
46. Ga Tech E
      UCF +4
48. Kentucky E
49. Pitt -4
      Ariz St +4
51. Colo St -2
52. Navy -2
53. Colorado -1
54. Arizona -1
55. WKU E
      Ole Miss +5
57. Missouri +3
58. Minnesota -1
      Ohio +5
      Baylor +6
61. Texas Tech -2
      Vandy +4
63. UNC -7
      App St -6
65. Duke -5
      N Illinois E
      Troy +6
68. Wake Forest E
      Iowa St E
70. Wyoming +7
71. Boston College -6
      Maryland +1
      Syracuse +2
74. Temple +4
75. Ark St -7
      Tulsa -2
77. W Mich -1
78. La Tech -5
79. Cal +1
80. Army +2
81. Utah St +3
82. Air Force -3
84. Marshall -3
85. SMU -2
86. Indiana -2
87. C Mich +3
88. Mid Tenn +3
89. S Miss -2
      Cincinnati +3
91. Oregon St -3
92. ODU +1
93. UTSA -5
94. Purdue E
95. Rutgers E
96. Fresno St +2
97. Miami, Oh -1
98. New Mexico E
      FAU +4
100. Louisiana +3
        N Texas +4
102. Akron -5
103. Hawaii -3
104. S Alabama -3
        Illinois E
        E Mich +3
107. FIU +5
108. Tulane -4
        Bowling Green +7
110. San Jose St -3
        Nevada -1
        UAB +5
113. Ball St -2
114. ECU -2
        New Mex St +5
116. Ga Southern -7
        Kansas -2
        UNLV +5
119. La-Monroe +4
120. UConn -3
        Idaho -1
122. Rice -1
123. Ga St +1
124. Buffalo -7
125. Kent St -1
        C Carolina +1
127. UMass +1
128. Texas St -1
129. UTEP E
130. Charlotte E

With 39 bowl games, there are 78 slots to fill.  Here is where things stand now:

Already clinched bowl eligibility (50 teams)
UCF
USF
Memphis
Houston
SMU
Clemson
NC State
Miami, Fl
Va Tech
Virginia
Oklahoma
TCU
Okla St
W Virginia
Iowa St
Mich St
Ohio St
Penn St
Michigan
Wisconsin
Northwestern
Iowa
FAU
FIU
Marshall
N Texas
UAB
Notre Dame
Army
Ohio
Toledo
N Illinois
Boise St
Wyoming
Colo St
Fresno St
San Diego St
Washington
Wash St
Stanford
USC
Arizona
Georgia
S Carolina
Kentucky
Alabama
Auburn
Miss St
LSU
Troy

Needing one win for bowl eligibility (20)
Navy
Boston College
Wake Forest
Louisville
Kansas St
WKU
S Miss
UTSA
Akron
C Mich
W Mich
Utah St
Oregon
Cal
Ariz St
Utah
Colorado
Texas A&M
Ga St
App St

Not eliminated (39)
Temple
UConn
Cincinnati
Tulane
FSU
Syracuse
Ga Tech
Pitt
Duke
Texas
Texas Tech
Rutgers
Maryland
Indiana
Nebraska
Purdue
Minnesota
Mid Tenn
ODU
La Tech
Mami, Oh
Buffalo
E Mich
Air Force
New Mexico
UNLV
Hawaii
UCLA
Florida
Missouri
Tennessee
Vandy
Ole Miss
Arkansas
Louisiana
La-Monroe
Idaho
New Mexico St
S Alabama

Would need a waiver to be eligible (not enough eligible teams) (6)
ECU
Illinois
UMass
Kent St
Ball St
Texas St

Mathematically eliminated (14)
Tulsa
UNC
Baylor
Kansas
Charlotte
Rice
UTEP
BYU
Bowling Green
Nevada
San Jose St
Oregon St
Ga Southern
C Carolina

Much of this will be changed, obviously, by Sunday.  I'll update next week.  Until next time, may your day and your loved ones be blessed!


Comments

Post a Comment

Most Popular Posts

It's Almost Time!

By
Welcome back!  It's been about 6 months since my last post, and I'm sure my loyal readers (all 3 of them!) have been wondering when I would be back. Football season will be here before you know it! Do you know how I can tell? The preseason magazines have begun to hit the shelves (and my mailbox)! The various conferences will be holding their media days next month, and then the teams will be holding their preseason camps, with the first games being played on August 27, the stupidly named Week Zero.  But I haven't just been sitting around doing nothing for the last few months. Oh, no! I've just completed my preseason Power Rankings, and so will now begin writing my previews of all 131 teams and the 10 conferences, which will take me up until the first games. I will publish my previews according to the following schedule: 7/18     Part I           Teams 131-121 7/19     Part II         Teams 120-111 7/20 ...
Read more

Are You Ready?

By
  Welcome Back! College Football is only 9 weeks away- just 64 days until the 1st games on Aug 24! That means the college football preview magazines are all out, and I've been hard at work assembling data and researching the upcoming season for my previews. Here is what you can expect from me, and when you can expect it. Beginning on Monday, July 15, I will do my individual team previews. I will basically do 10 teams a day (after doing 12 a day for the 1st 2 days- 134 doesn't divide by 10 evenly...) for 2+ weeks, and then 5 a day for the last 4 days (my Top 20). These will take you through August 2. These will be presented in reverse order (from #134 to #1) according to my own preseason Power Rankings.  On August 5, I'll start my conference previews, which will take 2 weeks. 9 1/2 conferences plus Independents equals 10 days.  That takes us all the way to Game Week! Well, sort of. There are only a handful of games on Aug 24, which has the incredibly dumb name of Week Zero...
Read more

More Struggles

By
Growing up, my family attended the Presbyterian Church.  My mom had been a Baptist, and my dad grew up Methodist, so I guess this was a compromise.  I did all the normal kid-at-church things: nursery, VBS, Sunday School, Wednesday Night Suppers,  acolyte, confirmation class, youth group.  I really enjoyed my time, and grew to really appreciate the time spent there. When I went to college, I intended to continue going to church, and even went a few times, but just stopped going.  A big part may have been that Sundays was the only time I could sleep past 7 am, especially in the fall (football games on Saturdays).  And once you stop going, it's easy for things to stay that way. My senior year, I met Jackie in my Educational Psychology class.  After 6 weeks of dating, I proposed, and she accepted.  We were married at her home church in Snellville, St. Matthew's Episcopal Church.  It was my first exposure to the Episcopal Church. We lived in...
Read more