Odds and Ends 9/25/24

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Welcome Back!

OOC games are starting to dwindle away as all teams move into their conference schedules. Of course, Notre Dame, UConn, and UMass have to play somebody, as does Oregon State and Washington State, so there will be some throughout the season. However, I will stop updating the Inter-conference results each week after next week, and pull them back out at the end of the year.


Interconference results

We had 64 games this past weekend, and about half of them were of the non-conference variety. Here is where each conference stands in various categories after the 3rd week.

Overall:

1) Pac 2 7-1/.875 (2-0  last week)
2) SEC 38-8/.826 (6-0)
3) Big Ten 42-10/.807 (5-3)
4) ACC 37-11/.771 (5-2)
5) Big 12 35-12/.745 (1-1)
6) AAC 24-22/.522 (6-4)
7) SBC 24-23/.511 (2-7)
8) Ind 6-6/.500 (3-0)
9) MAC 17-22/.436 (1-6)
10) MWC 15-23/.395 (1-3)
11) CUSA 11-19/.367 (3-3)
12) FCS 5-104/.046 (1-7)

The Pac Two takes over the top spot as the SEC moves into 2nd, dropping the Big Ten into 3rd.  The AAC takes over the top spot among the G5. The SEC (6-0) and Independents (3-0) had the best week, and the MAC (1-6) had the worst week.


vs FBS

1) Pac 2 5-1/.833 (2-0 last week)
2) SEC 27-8/.771 (6-0)
3) Big Ten 29-10/.744 (5-3)
4) ACC 23-11/.676 (4-2)
5) Big 12 21-12/.636 (1-1)
6) Ind 4-6/.400 (2-0)
7) AAC 13-22/.371 (5-4)
8) SBC 11-23/.324 (1-7)
9) CUSA 6-17/.261 (3-2)
10) MAC  7-21/.250 (0-6)
11) MWC 6-21/.222 (0-3)
12) FCS 5-104/..046 (1-7)

The Pac Two (2-0) takes over the top spot, as the SEC (6-0) and the Independents (2-0) had the best weeks, and the MAC (0-6) and SBC (1-7) had the worst.

Let's break this down a little further.


vs P5

1) Pac 2 3-1/.667 (1-0 for the week)
2) SEC 9-6/.600 (1-0)
3) Ind 2-2/.500 (0-0)
4) Big 12 7-9/.438 (0-0)
4) ACC  7-9/.438 (1-1)
6) Big Ten 7-10/.412 (1-3)
7) AAC 2-13/.133 (1-2)
8) SBC 2-14/.125 (1-5)
9) MWC 2-17/.105 (0-1)
10) MAC 2-19/.095 (0-5)
11) CUSA 0-8/.000 (0-1)
12) FCS 0-54/.000 (0-2)

As you can see, only 2 conferences (plus the Independents) have records of at least .500 against P5 teams. The Big Ten drops all the way down to #6 as the AAC moves to the top of the G5.

Now let's check out how conferences fare against G5 competition.


vs G5

1) Big Ten 22-0/1.000 (3-0 this week)
2) Pac 12 2-0/1.000 (1-0)
3) SEC 18-2/.900 (5-0)
4) ACC 16-2/.889 (3-1)
5) Big 12 14-3/.824 (1-1)
6) MAC 5-2/.714 (0-1)
7) AAC 11-9/.550 (4-2)
8) SBC 9-9/.500 (0-2)
9) MWC 4-4/.500 (0-2)
10) CUSA 6-9/.400 (3-1)
11) Ind 2-4/.250 (2-0)
12) FCS 5-50/.091 (1-5)

Only 1 of the P5 are still undefeated against G5 competition, as the SEC went 5-0. The SBC and MWC were each 0-2. The MAC stays in the lead among the G5, but the AAC is close behind.

Against FCS teams, the MAC is 10-1, the MWC is 9-2, and the CUSA is only 5-2. All other conferences are unbeaten.

The SEC has taken over as doing the best in OOC competition so far. The G5 is starting to be dominated by the AAC. Of course, there is much more season to be played, so this could all change.


Intraconference results

The SBC West is 1-0 vs the SBC East as the Sun Belt is the sole conference with divisions.


Undefeated/Winless teams

Here are the remaining undefeated teams, listed alphabetically. All records are 4-0 unless otherwise indicated.

Alabama 3-0
Army 3-0
BYU
Duke
Georgia 3-0
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa State 3-0
James Madison 3-0
Liberty
Louisville 3-0
Miami, Fl
Missouri
Navy 3-0
Ohio State 3-0
Ole Miss
Oregon 3-0
Penn State 3-0
Pittsburgh
Rutgers 3-0
Tennessee
Texas
UCF 3-0
UNLV 3-0
Utah
Washington State

17 teams suffered their 1st loss in week 4, so we are down to 26 out of 134 teams (19.4%) that are still undefeated. Here is how they break down by conference:

Pac-1 out of 2 teams (.500)
Big Ten- 6 out of 18 teams (.333)
SEC- 6/16 (.375)
Big 12- 4/16 (.250)
ACC- 4/17 (.235)
AAC- 2/14 (.143)
CUSA- 1/10 (.100)
MWC- 1/12 (.083)
SBC- 1/14 (.071)
Ind- 0/3 (.000)
MAC- 0/12 (.000)




These teams are still winless, again listed alphabetically. All records are 0-4 unless listed otherwise.

Kennesaw State 0-3
Kent State
Miami, Oh 0-3
New Mexico
ODU 0-3
UTEP
Wyoming

5 teams earned their 1st win, so we are down to 7 out of 134 teams (5.2%) that are still winless. Here is how they break down by conference:

Big Ten 0/18
ACC 0/17
SEC 0/16
Big 12 0/16
AAC 0/14
Ind 0/3
Pac 2 0/2
SBC 1/14
MWC 2/12
MAC 2/12
CUSA 2/10


These are the teams that have a win, but none against FBS teams. These are also listed alphabetically.

Air Force
Akron
Ball State
Bowling Green
Charlotte
Hawaii
Kansas
La Tech
Marshall
Middle Tennessee
Mississippi State
New Mexico State
Purdue
Rice
San Diego State
Southern Miss
Troy
UAB
UMass
Utah State
Wake Forest
Western Michigan
 
Overall 22 teams have a win, but no FBS wins. Here is how that breaks down by conference:

MWC- 4
MAC- 4
AAC- 3
CUSA- 3
SBC- 3
SEC- 1
Big 12- 1
ACC- 1
Big Ten- 1
Ind- 1
Pac 12- 0


Bowl eligible/eliminated

I will start listing these as soon as teams become bowl eligible (6 wins) or eliminated (7 losses). Look for this in October.


Paul's Playoff Picks

Almost all of my picks are still in play (obviously), but FSU has been eliminated. This could also affect the ACC as a whole.

As a refresher, here is the setup for the CFP:

5 slots are reserved for the 5 highest ranked conference champions; 7 slots are at-large (any team)
The top 4 conference champions get a bye for the 1st round. The next 4 seeds get a home game for the 1st round, and the 9-12 seeds travel to play 4-8 (4 vs 12, 5 vs 11, etc.). Teams are not reseeded after the 1st round, and Notre Dame cannot be a top 4 seed because they are not a member of any conference. After the 1st round, it plays out like any tournament- quarterfinals, semifinals, then finals, all at neutral sites (which I hope will change in future years).


Having said all that, here is who I think makes it into this year's 12-team CFP, presented in no particular order:

Georgia
Ohio State
FSU- already with 3 losses- ELIMINATED
Utah
Notre Dame- loss to a MAC team
Boise State- loss to Oregon by 3
Clemson- bounced back after a big loss to UGA
Texas- has a big win over Michigan
Oregon- looked shaky in 2 close wins, but better in win over Oregon St
Iowa- has a loss to rival Iowa State
Missouri
LSU- loss to Notre Dame 

Some of you are probably screaming at me right now with, "what about...?" and you would probably be right. This is all just a colossal guess. So to hedge my bets a bit, here are the teams I think also have a chance to make it in:

Alabama- Big game with UGA this week
Ole Miss
Tennessee- defeated Oklahoma
Penn State
Michigan- loss to Texas can be overcome, big win over USC
USC- loss to Michigan hurts
Rutgers- still undefeated
Miami, Fl- still undefeated
SMU- has a loss to BYU
Va Tech- already suffered a loss...against VANDY! And now to Rutgers.
Louisville
NC State- big losses to Tennessee and Clemson probably knocks them out of at-large consideration
Kansas State- shocking loss to BYU
Oklahoma State-loss to Utah
Arizona- loss to Kansas State
West Virginia- now has 2 losses
Kansas- 3 losses = ELIMINATED
UTSA- blowout losses to Texas State and Texas
Tulane- close loss to Kansas State, bigger loss to Oklahoma
Memphis- win over FSU, but loss to Navy
East Carolina- close loss to App St, another to Liberty
Air Force- loss to SJSU and Baylor
Appalachian State- blowout loss to Clemson, and another to South Alabama
Texas State- big win over UTSA, loss to Ariz St
Toledo- big win over Miss St, but a loss to WKU
Northern Illinois- big win over Notre Dame! And then a loss to Buffalo...
Liberty- still undefeated

This is obviously an extensive list, because I basically listed every P5 team with a chance to get 9+ wins, and every G5 team that I think could get 10+ wins. I am 99.9% sure that I will be wrong about much of this, but I would be happy if I get at least 6 of the 12 teams right, and 10-12 come from these 2 lists.


I'll update how my picks are doing each Wednesday throughout the season.




Feel free to leave a comment. Come back tomorrow for Paul's Picks! 

Until next time, may you and your loved ones be blessed!    

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