Odds and Ends 9/24/25

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Welcome Back!


We are now about 1/3 of the way through the season for most teams, and there is a lot more interesting info, as we are now starting to see trends. However, OOC games are just about done, so I may put that part aside until the end of the year.


Interconference results


Here is where we stand so far:

Overall:

1) SEC-         41-5/.891
2) Big Ten-     43-9/.827
3) Big 12-     36-10/.783
4) ACC-          34-17/.667
5) American    29-15/.659
6) MWC-         23-15/.605
7) SBC-             23-25/.479
8) CUSA-         18-23/.439
9) Pac 12-         3-6/.333
9) Ind            2-4/.333
11) MAC        14-30/.318
12) FCS        4-112/.034

The SEC remains the overall leader, but it's not a huge lead. The American Conference continues to  lead the G5. The SBC, CUSA, Pac 12, Independents, and MAC all have losing records.


vs FBS:

1) SEC            31-5/.861
2) Big Ten    29-9/.763
3) Big 12        22-10/.688
4) American    17-14/.548
5) ACC            20-17/.541
6) MWC        11-15/.423
7) Ind        2-4/.333
8) CUSA        8-22/.267
9) SBC        9-25/.265
10) MAC        5-28/.152
11) Pac 12    1-6/.143
12) FCS           4-112/.034

Again, the SEC is in the lead, with the Big Ten fairly close behind. The American leads the G5, and are above the ACC. All other G5 conferences have a losing record, meaning their overall record is propped up with wins over FCS squads. 



vs P4 (Notre Dame included, Pac 12 and UConn are not):

1) SEC            10-3/.769
2) Big 12          9-7/.563
3) Big Ten        5-6/.454
4) American      6-10/.375
5) ACC            6-13/.316
6) MWC            4-9/.308
7) Ind                1-3/.250
8) SBC            1-15/.063
9) MAC          1-21/.031
10) Pac 12          0-4/.000
11) CUSA          0-12/.000
12) FBS            0-52/.000

The SEC also leads this category, as there are still 3 groups without a win. Again, the American Conference has a better record than the ACC. Interestingly, the Big Ten, the conference with the most teams, has played fewer P4 teams (11) than any other conference. Only the SEC and Big 12 have a winning record.


vs G5:

1) SEC            21-2/.913
2) Big Ten        24-3/.889
3) Big 12        13-3/.813
4) ACC            14-4/.778
5) American    11-4/.733
6) MWC         7-6/.538
7) Ind            1-1/.500
8) SBC            8-10/.444
8) CUSA        8-10/.444
10) MAC            4-7/.364
11) Pac 12        1-2/.333
12) FCS            4-60/.063

The SEC is near undefeated vs G5 teams, with the other 3 P4 conferences close behind. The American and the MWC have winning records against their peer conferences.



Intraconference results

The Sun Belt West is tied with the East 1-1.


Undefeated/Winless teams

The following teams are undefeated with a 4-0 record (unless otherwise indicated):

Arizona (3-0)
BYU (3-0)
FSU (3-0)
Georgia (3-0)
Georgia Tech
Houston (3-0)
Indiana
Iowa State 
Louisville (3-0)
LSU
Maryland
Memphis
Miami, Fl
Mississippi State
Missouri
Navy (3-0)
North Texas
Ohio State (3-0)
Oklahoma
Ole Miss
Oregon
Penn State (3-0)
TCU (3-0)
Texas A&M (3-0)
Texas Tech
UCF (3-0)
UNLV 
USC
Vanderbilt
Washington (3-0)

9 teams suffered their 1st loss this past weekend, so we are down to 30 out of 136 teams (22.1%) that remain undefeated. 

Here is how many from each conference are still undefeated:

SEC     8 out of 16/.500
Big 12    7-16/.438
Big Ten    7-18/.389
ACC    4-17/.235
American    3-14/.214
MWC    1-12/.083
Pac 12    0-2/.000
Independents 0-2/.000
CUSA    0-10/.000
MAC    0-13/.000
SBC    0-14/.000


The following teams have yet to win a game (0-4 unless otherwise indicated):

Miami, Oh (0-3)
Oregon State
Sam Houston 
UCLA (0-3)
UMass (0-3)

6 teams earned their 1st win of the season, so we have only 5 teams that remain winless (3.7%).

This is how many from each conference are still winless:

MAC    2 out of 13 teams
CUSA    1-10
Big Ten     1-18
Pac 12    1-2
Ind     0-2
MWC    0-12
SBC    0-14
American    0-14
ACC     0-17
SEC    0-16
Big 12    0-16


The following teams have a win, but no FBS wins:

Air Force
Akron
Arkansas State
Ball State
Boston College
Charlotte
Colorado State
FAU
Florida
Georgia State
Kansas State
Kent State
Liberty
Louisiana
Nevada
Northern Illinois
Northwestern
Oklahoma State
San Jose State 
South Alabama
UTEP
Virginia Tech

32 teams (23.5%) do not have an FBS win.
This is how many teams from each conference fall into this category:

SBC-4
MWC-3
MAC-3
CUSA-2
American-2
Big 12-2
ACC-1
Big Ten-1
SEC-1
Ind- 0
Pac 12-0


Bowl eligible/eliminated

I will start listing these as soon as teams become bowl eligible (6 wins) or eliminated (7 losses). Look for this in mid- to late-October.


Paul's Playoff Picks

Most of my picks are still in play, but Clemson's and Kansas State's possible bids are all but gone.

As a refresher, here is the setup for the CFP:

5 slots are reserved for the 5 highest ranked conference champions; 7 slots are at-large (any team)
The top 4 seeds get a bye for the 1st round. This year, there are no allowances made for conference champions beyond being accepted into the field. The next 4 seeds get a home game for the 1st round, and the 9-12 seeds travel to play 4-8 (4 vs 12, 5 vs 11, etc.). Teams are not reseeded after the 1st round. After the 1st round, it plays out like any tournament- quarterfinals, semifinals, then finals, all at neutral sites (which I hope will change in future years).

Here is who I think makes it into this year's 12-team CFP, presented in no particular order:

Georgia- still undefeated
Ohio State- still undefeated
Clemson- ELIMINATED
Kansas State- just 1-3, on the verge of elimination
Notre Dame- 2 losses already
Boise State- blown out by USF
Texas- close loss to OSU
Alabama- lost to FSU by 14
Oregon- still undefeated
Penn State- still undefeated
Georgia Tech- still undefeated
LSU- still undefeated


Here is the list of the next most likely teams to get in:


Oklahoma- still undefeated
Ole Miss- still undefeated
Tennessee- close loss to UGA in OT
Michigan- loss to Oklahoma
Iowa- loss to Iowa State
Illinois- routed by Indiana
Indiana- still undefeated
USC- still undefeated
Miami, Fl- still undefeated
SMU- 2 losses already
Louisville- still undefeated
BYU- still undefeated
Arizona State- loss to lowly Miss State
Iowa State- still undefeated
Baylor- 2 losses already
Utah- big loss to Texas Tech
Tulane- routed by Ole Miss
Army- 2 losses already, including to an FCS team
Memphis- still undefeated
San Jose State- 2 losses already
UNLV- still undefeated
James Madison- loss at Louisville by only 14
Georgia Southern- routed by Fresno St and USC
Louisiana- lost to Rice
Texas State- loss to Arizona State
Toledo- 2 losses already
Ohio- 2 losses already
Liberty- ELIMINATED
WKU- loss to Toledo

This is obviously an extensive list, because I basically listed every P4 team with a chance to get 9+ wins, and every G5 team that I think could get 10+ wins. I am 99.9% sure that I will be wrong about much of this, but I would be happy if I get at least 6 of the 12 teams right, and if all 12 come from these 2 lists.


I'll update how my picks are doing each Wednesday throughout the season.




Feel free to leave a comment. Come back tomorrow for Paul's Picks! 

Until next time, may you and your loved ones be blessed!    

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